Friday, November 02, 2012
With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Ohio remains one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama won the Buckeye State in 2008 by a 52% to 47% margin.
At the beginning of the week, Romney held a slight 50% to 48% advantage. It was the first time Romney has taken even a modest lead in the race of Ohio's 18 Electoral College votes since late May, but the two candidates have been within two percentage points of one another since then.
Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.
Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Voters in Ohio trust Romney more by six points - 50% to 44% - when it comes to handling the economy and by five - 50% to 45% - in the area of job creation. The challenger also has a three-point edge on energy policy, while the president has a two-point trust advantage in the areas of national security and housing policy.
Twenty-two percent (22%) rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, but 42% give the economy a poor rating. Forty-five percent (45%) describe their personal finances as good or excellent, while 13% say their finances are poor.
Fifty-three percent (53%) of Ohio voters have at least a somewhat favorable impression of Romney, while 47% view him unfavorably. That includes 40% with a Very Favorable opinion and 35% with a Very Unfavorable one.
Half (50%) of voters in the state have a favorable opinion of Obama, but just as many (49%) have an unfavorable view. This includes Very Favorables of 37% and Very Unfavorables of 41%.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of Ohio voters at least somewhat approve of the job Obama is doing as president, while 48% disapprove. That includes Strong Approval from 33% and Strong Disapproval from 42%.
In addition to Ohio, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia and Wisconsin are Toss-Ups. Romney is ahead in Arizona, Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina and North Dakota. Obama is ahead in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Washington.
Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.
We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter, the Rasmussen Report on radio and other media outlets.
Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $3.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on Election 2012, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.