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November 4, 201230% Say Election Is Causing More Stress In Their Family
One-in-four Americans (27%) say the upcoming election has negatively affected their personal relationship with a friend or family member, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
Forty-five percent (45%) say they have gotten into a heated argument with a friend or family member about the election. Most (52%) have not. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Perhaps, not surprisingly, men (53%) are more likely to have gotten in a heated argument than women (39%) are.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 24-25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 4, 2012Montana: Romney 53%, Obama 43%
Mitt Romney leads President Obama by 10 points in Montana.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters shows Romney with 53% of the vote to Obama’s 43%.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 4, 2012Indiana : Romney 52%, Obama 43%
Mitt Romney continues to hold a comfortable lead in Indiana as the presidential election nears. 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Hoosier State shows Romney with 52% support to President Obama's 43%.  One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 600 Likely Voters in Indiana was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 3, 2012Rasmussen Employment Index Improves Slightly in October
The Rasmussen Employment Index which measures worker confidence inched up three points in October but remains slightly below the level measured for most of 2012.
At 79.9, the Employment Index has rebounded eight points from August’s 10-month low of 72.0 and is eight points above the level of confidence measured a year ago. Worker confidence is now a point below the level measured in January.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 8,810 working Americans was conducted in October 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 3, 2012Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 48%, Mandel (R) 48%
The U.S. Senate race in Ohio remains a close one.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel each earning 48% support. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 3, 2012What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending November 3, 2012
Too close to call: That’s where we’re at. With eight states, all carried by Barack Obama in 2008, likely to decide the winner.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll finds President Obama and Mitt Romney tied nationally with 48% support each. 
Our Electoral College Projections show that the president can reasonably assume he has 237 votes locked up to Romney’s 206. The winner needs 270. Eight states, with a total of 95 Electoral College votes, remain toss-ups and will determine whose sworn in as president in January: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin.

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                            November 2, 2012Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 47%
President Obama continues to earn over 50% of the vote in Michigan in the final days of the campaign, but his lead over Mitt Romney in the state is down to five points.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Michigan Voters shows Obama with 52% support to Romney's 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Michigan survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 2, 2012Indiana Senate: Donnelly (D) 45%, Mourdock (R) 42%
Democratic Congressman Joe Donnelly has a three-point lead over Republican Richard Mourdock in the closing days of Indiana’s U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Indiana Voters shows Donnelly with 45% support to Mourdock’s 42%. A surprisingly large number of voters either prefer another candidate in the race (6%) or remain undecided (6%). (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The Indiana survey of 600 Likely Voters was conducted November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports.  The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

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                            November 2, 2012Ohio:  Obama 49%, Romney 49%
With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.   
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support.  Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 2, 2012Montana Senate: Tester (D) 49%, Rehberg  (R) 48%
The Montana Senate race remains a near tie as Election Day nears, with incumbent Democrat Jon Tester now ahead by one point.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters finds Tester with 49% support to 48% for his Republican challenger, Congressman Denny Rehberg. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 2, 2012Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 48%
Former Governor Tommy Thompson and Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin are tied in Wisconsin's U.S. Senate race.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters shows Thompson and Baldwin each earning 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This Wisconsin survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
November 2, 2012An Unpredictable End to a Very Predictable Election By Scott Rasmussen
Election 2012 has had few surprises. So it's somewhat surprising that heading into the final weekend of the election season, we are unable to confidently project who is likely to win the White House.

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                            November 1, 2012Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 47%
Mitt Romney still holds a narrow lead in Colorado. 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Colorado Voters shows Romney still holding 50% support, while President Obama earns 47% of the vote. Two percent (2%) favor some other candidate, and one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Colorado was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 1, 201248% Trust GOP More to Handle Economy, 44% Trust Democrats
Voters continue to regard the economy as the number one voting issue, and Republicans still have a slight edge in voter trust when it comes to the economy and six other major issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports.
New national telephone surveying finds that 48% of Likely U.S. Voters trust the Republicans more when it comes to the economy, while 44% have more faith in the Democrats. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Two national surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters each were conducted on October 21-22 and 23-24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 1, 2012Iowa: Romney 49%, Obama 48%
Iowa remains neck-and-neck in the closing days of Election 2012, with Mitt Romney now showing a one-point lead. 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds the Republican challenger with 49% support, while President Obama earns 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Iowa was conducted on October 30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 1, 2012Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49%
Wisconsin which may prove to be the key to the entire presidential contest remains a tie less than a week before Election Day.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama and Mitt Romney each earning 49% support. Two percent (2%) remain undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. 
This Wisconsin survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            November 1, 201239% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction
Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Likely U.S. Voters say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, October 28.
That’s up two points from last week and the highest level of optimism since May 2009. The latest finding is up 15 points from 24% at the beginning of the year and up 22 points from 17% a year ago.
The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen October 22-28, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
October 31, 20122012 Presidential Election Matchups
Rasmussen Reports continues to track Republican challenger Mitt Romney in regular matchups with President Obama.
These matchups are updated each day by 9:30am and include a running history of the results since the beginning of the year.
This information is available to those with Rasmussen Reader subscriptions and Platinum Service only.  To view a free version of our daily presidential tracking poll, click here.
To learn more about our different levels of subscription services that give you access to even more content and data from Rasmussen Reports, click here.
To see how these numbers compare to the 2008 matchups between presidential hopefuls Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama, click here.

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                            October 31, 2012Only 43% Think Halloween Is Just for Kids
Tonight’s the night for ghouls and goblins again.
More Americans are dressing up for Halloween (22%) and decorating their houses for the holiday (37%) than a year ago, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Adults under 40 are much more likely to dress up and decorate than their elders.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 26-27, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            October 31, 2012Massachusetts: Obama 59%, Romney 40%
Massachusetts remains about as blue as a state can be, with President Obama nearly 20 points ahead of Mitt Romney here.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters shows the president with 59% support to Romney’s 40%. Just one percent (1%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.