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January 20, 2014

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 41%, Republicans 35%

Democrats have posted their largest lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot since early November, while Republicans have fallen to their lowest level of support in a year.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending January 19 finds that 41% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, unchanged from the previous week. Thirty-five percent (35%) would choose the Republican instead, down two points from the previous survey. The Democrats have now led for three weeks in a row.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from January 13-19, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 20, 2014

20% Consider MLK Day One of the Nation's Most Important Holidays

An overwhelming majority of Americans continue to hold a favorable opinion of Martin Luther King, Jr., but just over one-in-three think we have reached the day of equal opportunity for all races that he envisioned.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 85% of American Adults have at least a somewhat favorable opinion of King. Just 10% hold an unfavorable opinion of the assassinated civil rights leader. This includes 55% with a Very Favorable view and four percent (4%) with a Very Unfavorable one. (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter and Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on January 18-19, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 20, 2014

46% Think Benghazi Will Hurt Hillary Clinton in 2016

Most voters now believe the Americans killed in Benghazi, Libya in September 2012 died in terrorist attacks, and a growing number think Hillary Clinton’s presidential aspirations are likely to suffer because of the Benghazi affair.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters think the circumstances surrounding the murder of the U.S. ambassador and three other U.S. Embassy employees in Libya will hurt the former secretary of State if she runs for president in 2016. That’s up from 43% in late October. Just four percent (4%) think the Benghazi issue will help Clinton if she runs for the White House. Thirty-eight percent (38%) say it will have no impact, compared to 41% three months ago. Thirteen percent (13%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 17-18, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 20, 2014

42% Favor Individual Health Care Mandate, 43% Oppose

Most voters have opposed the new national health care law’s individual mandate in past surveys, but voters are now evenly divided when asked whether the federal government should force every American to have health insurance.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 42% of Likely U.S. Voters believe the government should require every American to buy or obtain health insurance, up from 33% in mid-December. But now only 43% oppose the individual mandate, down 15 points from a high of 58% last month. Fifteen percent (15%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 17-18, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 19, 2014

46% Say America’s Best Days Are in the Past

Americans remain pessimistic about the nation’s future.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 34% of Likely U.S. Voters think America’s best days are still to come, although that's up from 31% in October 2013 the lowest level of optimism in two-and-a-half years. Forty-six percent (46%) think the nation’s best days are in the past, down from a recent high of  52% last October. Twenty percent (20%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on January 13-14, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 18, 2014

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - The Week Ending January 18, 2014

With Oklahoma Senator Tom Coburn’s announcement this week that he will resign at the end of the current congressional session, 36 of the 100 U.S. Senate seats are now up for grabs in November’s midterm congressional elections. Twenty-one are held by Democrats, 15 by Republicans.

January 17, 2014

39% Rate Obama Good, Excellent on Economy

Positive views on President Obama’s economic leadership continue to improve after reaching a year-and-a-half low last month.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 39% of Likely U.S. Voters now give the president good or excellent marks for his handling of economic issues. That's up from a low of 32% in early December and Obama's highest positives in this area since October. Slightly more (41%) still rate the president’s economic performance as poor, but that's down from a recent high of 48% early last month. (To see survey question wording, click here). 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on January 13-14, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

January 17, 2014

51% Oppose Senate Plan to Triple Legal Immigration

Most voters still see legal immigration as good for America, but one-in-three favor cutting the number of legal immigrants to this country even if the border is totally secured to prevent illegal immigration. Just over half oppose a plan passed by the U.S. Senate to triple legal immigration over the next 10 years.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 64% of Likely U.S. voters consider immigration, when done within the law, to be good for America. That’s down only slightly from 68% in March of last year. Twenty-three percent (23%) view legal immigration as bad for the United States. Thirteen percent (13%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on January 15-16, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 17, 2014

Population Declining in States With Relatively High Dependence on Government by Michael Barone

The Census Bureau's holiday treat is its release of annual state population estimates, to be digested slowly in the new year.

The headline from this year's release is that population growth from July 2012 to July 2013 was 0.72 percent, lower than in the two preceding years and the lowest since the Great Depression 1930s.

This reflects continuing low, below-replacement-rate birth rates and lower immigration than in 1982-2007. Net immigration from Mexico evidently continues to be zero.

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January 17, 2014

Michigan Senate: Land (R) 37%, Peters (D) 35%

Republican Terri Lynn Land and Democrat Gary Peters are running neck-and-neck in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the prospective 2014 U.S. Senate race in Michigan.

A new telephone survey of Likely Michigan Voters finds Land, a former Michigan secretary of state, leading Peters, a U.S. congressman, by just two points - 37% to 35%. But eight percent (8%) prefer some other candidate, and 20% are undecided this early in the year. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Michigan was conducted on January 14-15, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 17, 2014

Straightforward? Not The Best Description Of Chris Christie -- Or His Pal Karl Rove By Joe Conason

When Karl Rove praises a politician's "straightforward" approach to an erupting scandal, it seems wise to expect that something very twisted will instead emerge in due course -- and to consider his real objectives.

January 17, 2014

29% Favor Phasing Out the Penny

The U.S. Mint reports it costs 2.41 cents to produce one penny, but support for getting rid of the coin is at an all-time low.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 29% favor a proposal to stop making pennies in the United States. Fifty percent (50%) oppose such a proposal, but 21% more are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on January 12-13, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC

January 16, 2014

55% Still Believe U.S. Society is Fair and Decent

Belief that American society is fair and decent has reached its lowest mark since August 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national survey finds that just 55% of Likely U.S. Voters now view American society that way. Thirty percent (30%) disagree and think society in this country is generally unfair and discriminatory. That's down two points from 32% in October, the highest level of pessimism in over six years. Sixteen percent (16%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on January 13-14, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 16, 2014

49% Have Gone A Week Without Paying Cash

Fewer Americans are paying by cash these days, and half now say they’ve gone through a week without paying for anything in cash and coins.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 20% of American Adults say they pay cash for groceries, compared to 24% in April 2012. Twenty-eight percent (28%) pay cash at a restaurant, but that’s down from 32% two years ago. In 2012, most (52%) still paid cash when they went to the movies, but now just 39% buy their tickets that way.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on January 12-13, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 16, 2014

Confidence in U.S. Banking System Climbs to Post-Meltdown High

Americans are starting off 2014 with their most optimistic view of the nation's banks since before the Wall Street meltdown.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 56% of American Adults are now confident in the stability of the U.S. banking industry, including 11% who are Very Confident. Forty-one percent (41%) are not as confident, with 10% who are Not At All Confident. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on January 14-15, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 16, 2014

34% Think Best People Should Work for Government

Voters are evenly divided these days when asked if the best and brightest should work for the government.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 34% of Likely U.S. Voters believe it’s better for America if the best people take government jobs. But an identical number (34%) think it’s better for the country if those people go to work in the private sector instead. The remaining third (31%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 11-12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 15, 2014

Liberals, Let the States Do It By Froma Harrop

In the beginning, Massachusetts opened the gates to same-sex marriage and universal health coverage. California started to liberalize drug laws by legalizing medical marijuana. The sky didn't fall on any of these efforts, initially regarded as dangerous social experiments by many conservatives.

Now red states such as Kentucky are launching state-run health insurance exchanges. Federal judges in conservative Utah and Oklahoma are calling bans on gay marriage unconstitutional. And purple Colorado has legalized recreational marijuana use.

January 15, 2014

29% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

For the second week in a row, 29% of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending January 12.

That's down from 30% two weeks ago, the highest level of confidence since early September. In early October during the federal government shutdown, confidence in the country’s course fell to 13%, the lowest finding in five years. A year ago, 36% said the country was heading in the right direction.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on January 6-12, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

January 15, 2014

77% Think Woman President Likely in Next 10 Years

Hillary Clinton is the early frontrunner for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination, and the good news for her is that voters remain overwhelmingly willing to vote for a woman for president. They’re not so sure about their family, friends and co-workers, though.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 77% of Likely U.S. Voters think it is at least somewhat likely that a woman will be elected president in the next 10 years. That’s up from 60% in December 2006 when Mrs. Clinton was also the frontrunner for her party’s 2008 presidential nomination. Just 18% consider it unlikely a woman will be elected president in the next decade. This includes 37% who say it’s Very Likely and only four percent (4%) who think it’s Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording,click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 13-14, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted byPulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 15, 2014

Bitcoin Revolution By John Stossel

The big online retailer Overstock.com now accepts payment in Bitcoin. That's good news for lovers of liberty because Bitcoins give us an alternative to government-controlled money. Bitcoins are a currency created by anonymous, private tech nerds, not by government.