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March 20, 20142016 Republican Presidential Update: A New, Familiar Name at the Top By Larry J. Sabato and Kyle Kondik
In our first ranking of the very large and very unsettled 2016 Republican presidential field back in April of last year, we decided to not even include the name of one of the brightest stars in the GOP universe: Jeb Bush. We just didn’t think, at the time, that the former Florida governor and brother and son of presidents was all that interested in running.
But during 2013 and into this new year, we’ve gotten the sense, like many others, that things might be changing. So much so that we now consider Bush the leader of the field if he decides to run.
Why?

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                            March 20, 201469% Say Arrival of Spring Puts Them in a Better Mood
Winter feels like it may never end in many parts of the country, and most Americans agree that this has been one of the worst winters ever. Not surprisingly then, seven-out-of-10 say the arrival of spring today lifts their spirits.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 58% of American Adults rate the winter of 2013-2014 as one of the worst ever. Thirty percent (30%) think it was about the same as most winters, while 10% consider it one of the best. This past winter, multiple polar vortexes fell over much of the United States, bringing below freezing temperatures to every state. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on March 13-14, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 19, 201429% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction
Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending March 16.
That’s unchanged from the previous week and down from a recent high of 32% three weeks ago. For most of the last three months, this finding has hovered in the 29% to 30% range.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on March 10-16, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on March 3-9, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 19, 2014What America Thinks: GOP, Democrats Don't See Eye-to-Eye on Taxes, Spending
Many voters express concern about the partisan battling in Washington, DC, but a closer look at what America thinks about taxes and government spending makes it clearer why the political parties disagree so strongly.
March 19, 2014Spring Clean Government By John Stossel
Spring cleaning is a healthy tradition. If only politicians did it!   

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                            March 19, 2014Montana Senate: Daines (R) 51%, Walsh (D) 37%
Republican Congressman Steve Daines is well ahead of interim Senator John Walsh and fellow Democrat John Bohlinger in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the 2014 U.S. Senate race in Montana.
A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters finds that Daines leads Walsh by 14 points – 51% to 37%. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate in the race, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Montana was conducted on March 17-18, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 19, 201441% Say Expanding Overtime Pay Will Hurt Businesses
President Obama ordered the Labor Department last week to revise federal rules to allow more workers to qualify for overtime pay.  Voters have mixed feelings about how this change will impact the economy, but they are more pessimistic about its impact on businesses.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 37% of Likely U.S. Voters believe increasing the number of people eligible for overtime pay will help the economy. Nearly as many (34%) think this change will hurt the economy instead. Fourteen percent (14%) believe expanding overtime will have no economic impact, while just as many (15%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 16-17, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 19, 201484% Are Paying More For Groceries Than a Year Ago
Most Americans remain concerned about inflation, with the number who say they are paying more for groceries at its highest level in a year.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 84% of American Adults report paying more for groceries today than a year ago, up eight points from 76% last month. That’s the highest since last March when 86% said they were paying more for groceries. Just 10% say they are not paying more. (To see survey question wording, click here).
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on March 15-16, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 18, 201452% Think U.S. Economy Unfair to Those Willing to Work Hard
Most voters continue to think the economy is unfair to those who are willing to work hard.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters say the U.S. economy is at least somewhat fair to people who are willing to work hard, up six points from October. Fifty-two percent (52%), though, do not think the economy is fair to those willing to work hard, although that's down from October’s high of 58%. This includes 14% who think the economy is Very Fair to hard workers and 17% who don’t think it’s Not At All Fair to them. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 16-17, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 18, 201463% Oppose Adding Members to the House of Representatives
A national political analyst noted recently that U.S. congressional districts have far more people in them now than the Founding Fathers envisioned, and he suggested that the House of Representatives take on more members to decrease the voter-to-member ratio. But most voters don’t like that idea and think it would just make the House more out of touch.
Seventeen percent (17%) of Likely U.S. Voters favor a proposal to increase the size of the House of Representatives by 100 to 200 members to make congressional districts smaller and representatives closer to the voters. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 63% oppose adding more members to the House. Twenty percent (20%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 10-11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 18, 201452% Support U.S. Diplomatic Action Against Russia Over Crimea
The United States and Europe imposed travel and economic sanctions on Russian and Ukrainian officials following Sunday’s vote in Crimea to secede from the Ukraine and join Russia. Few U.S. voters believe Russia should be allowed to annex the Ukrainian peninsula, and just over half support diplomatic action against Russia if it does.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 23% of Likely U.S. Voters believe Russia should be allowed to annex Crimea. Forty-two percent (42%) disagree and say Russia should not be allowed to annex the peninsula despite the lopsided support for Russian annexation in Sunday’s referendum vote. However, a sizable 35% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 14-15, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
March 18, 2014Democratic Strategists in 2014 Are Like French Generals in 1940 By Michael Barone
It is reminiscent of the quandary faced by Gen. Maurice Gamelin on the evening of May 15, 1940. Suddenly he realized that German panzer troops had broken through the supposedly impassable Ardennes.   
March 18, 2014People Sin, Not Music Festivals by Froma Harrop
A curious discussion followed the tragedy at the recent South by Southwest festival in Austin, Texas. Many of the festival's fans and critics turned the awful event into a call for "soul-searching" about what the festival had become.
What happened was that a drunken driver plowed through a police barricade, killing two people and injuring another 23. Some festival aficionados seemed to see an intoxicated driver's causing havoc on a packed Austin street as the inevitable outcome of an event that had lost its innocence.
Follow Froma Harrop on Twitter @FromaHarrop. She can be reached at fharrop@gmail.com. To find out more about Froma Harrop and read features by other Creators writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Web page at www.creators.com.
COPYRIGHT 2014 CREATORS.COM

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                            March 18, 201451% Remain Confident in U.S. Banking System
Confidence in U.S. banks remains down slightly from its beginning-of-the-year high.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 51% of American Adults are at least somewhat confident in the stability of the U.S. banking industry for the second month in a row, while 45% are not. This includes 10% who are Very Confident and 11% who are Not At All Confident in the banking system. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on March 15-16, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confide

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                            March 17, 20146% Consider St. Patrick’s Day One of the Most Important Holidays
Few Americans consider St. Patrick’s Day an important holiday, but adults under 40 are much more likely to celebrate it than their elders.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just six percent (6%) of American Adults consider St. Patrick’s Day one of our nation’s most important holidays, while 57% consider it one of the least important. Thirty-four percent (34%) consider today's holiday somewhere in between the two. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on March 13-14, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 17, 2014New Hampshire Senate: Shaheen (D) 50%, Brown (R) 41%
Former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown announced Friday that he is laying the groundwork for a possible challenge against incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire, but Shaheen is comfortably ahead of Brown for now in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the possible U.S. Senate race in the Granite State.
A new statewide survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds Shaheen with 50% support to Brown’s 41%. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in New Hampshire was conducted on March 12-13, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 17, 201453% Expect Health System To Get Worse Under Obamacare
Voters give the overall U.S. health care system mixed reviews five months into Obamacare, although most still have high praise for the care they personally receive. A majority continues to expect the health care system to get worse under the new law.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that only 32% of Likely U.S. Voters now rate the nation’s health care system as good or excellent, while just as many (32%) describe it as poor. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 14-15, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
March 16, 2014Senate Update: Domino Effects By Kyle Kondik
To demonstrate just how Republican this year’s Senate playing field is, consider this: Of the 36 Senate elections this year (33 regularly scheduled and three specials), the Crystal Ball sees 16 as at least potentially competitive at the moment. Of those races, 14 are currently held by Democrats, and just two are held by Republicans.

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                            March 16, 2014New Low: 47% Say Tax Cuts Help The Economy
Despite news that President Obama is proposing $55 billion in new government spending and higher taxes in 2015, slightly fewer voters expect their own personal taxes to up during the remainder of his presidency. Most continue to believe increased spending hurts the economy, but for the first time, fewer than half of voters believe tax cuts help the economy.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 37% of Likely U.S. Voters expect their own personal taxes to go up under the Obama administration. That’s down eight points from December and is the lowest level measured since November 2012. Still, just eight percent (8%) expect their taxes to go down under Obama, while 43% expect them to remain about the same. Thirteen percent (13%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 12-13, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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                            March 15, 2014What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls: Week Ending March 15
The recent lawsuit filed by a New Jersey teenager against her parents demanding living expenses and college tuition was a “say what?” moment for many Americans. It also prompted a fresh look at the relationship most hold above all others, the one between a parent and a child.