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September 16, 2014

37% Expect Their Home’s Value to Go Up Next Year

Short- and long-term confidence in housing values are stable at levels seen since early last year and remain well ahead of whether they were for the four years prior to that.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 37% of U.S. homeowners now think the value of their home will go up in the next year. That’s up three points from August which was the lowest level of confidence measured in 2014. Fourteen percent (14%) expect the value of their home to go down over the next year, while 48% still expect it to stay about the same. Both those findings are unchanged from the previous survey. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 666 Adult Homeowners was conducted on September 14-15, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 16, 2014

New Hampshire Governor: Hassan (D) 51%, Havenstein (R) 40%

Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan leads Republican challenger Walt Havenstein by double digits in her bid for reelection in New Hampshire.

New Hampshire is rated Safe Democrat on the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Gubernatorial Scorecard. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Hassan, a former state senator, is running for her second two-year term after winning the 2012 election against Republican Ovide Lamontagne with 55% of the vote. She is backed by 89% of the state’s Democrats and leads Havenstein 52% to 34% among voters not affiliated with either major political party. Havenstein, a businessman, defeated three other hopefuls in last Tuesday's state GOP primary and now has the support of 80% of New Hampshire Republicans.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in New Hampshire was conducted on September 10-11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 16, 2014

Americans Worry Less About Ebola Threat to U.S.

Ebola may be spreading in Africa, but Americans are less concerned about the deadly disease coming to these shores than they were six weeks ago.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of American Adults remain at least somewhat concerned personally about the threat of Ebola disease, but that’s down from 58% at the beginning of August. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that nearly as many (46%) don’t share that concern, up from 38% in the earlier survey. The latest findings include 15% who are Very Concerned about the disease and 11% who are Not At All Concerned. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 12-13, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
September 16, 2014

How Not to Get Your Country Back By Froma Harrop

The tea party mantra, "I want my country back," resonates with many. The racial undertones can be ugly (as well as pointless). But the longing for an economically secure America centered on a strong middle class is on point and widely shared.

Older and mostly white members of the far right tend to see themselves as model Americans who worked hard, saved up and played by the rules. They may have done all the above, but many also have no idea of how easy they had it.

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September 16, 2014

Obama Forced by Events to Reverse Course --- and Disillusion Base by Michael Barone

Iraq, immigration, inversion. On all three of the issues referred to, President Obama finds himself forced by events to do something he dislikes -- and he's in trouble with much of his Democratic Party base for doing so.

September 16, 2014

Most Voters Still Want Government to Cut Spending to Boost Economy

In reacting to the nation’s current economic problems, more voters worry the government won’t do enough than that it will do too much. However, they hope the government’s response is to cut spending, not increase it.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters are more concerned that the government won't dip enough in responding to the bad economy. Just 38% are more worried that the government will do too much. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 11-12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 15, 2014

Hawaii Senate: Schatz (D) 60%, Cavasso (R) 28%

Appointed Democratic Senator Brian Schatz holds a two-to-one lead over his Republican challenger Campbell Cavasso in the bid to keep his seat in Hawaii.

Hawaii is rated Safe Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Senate Balance of Power rankings. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Hawaii was conducted on September 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 15, 2014

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 41%, Republicans 38%

Democrats have retaken the lead on the latest Generic Congressional Ballot.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending September 14 finds that 41% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 38% would choose the Republican.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 8-14, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 15, 2014

New Hampshire Senate: Shaheen (D) 48%, Brown (R) 42%

The gap is narrowing, but incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen is still ahead of Republican Scott Brown in one of the nation’s closest watched U.S. Senate races.

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds Shaheen with 48% support to Brown’s 42%. Five percent (5%) prefer another candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in New Hampshire was conducted on September 10-11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 15, 2014

Voters Agree with Obama’s Plans to Fight ISIS

President Obama in a nationally televised speech last week outlined his plans for fighting the radical group that calls itself the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS, also known as ISIL), and voters are mostly supportive of those plans. Just over half also agree with the president that despite its name, the extremist group does not represent the true beliefs of Islam.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 66% of Likely U.S. Voters favor the president's plan for expanding U.S. airstrikes beyond Iraq to Syria to help defeat ISIS. Sixteen percent (16%) oppose this plan, while 18% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on September 11-12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 15, 2014

Voters Still Think Cost, Quality of Care Will Worsen Under Obamacare

It’s been nearly a year since the national health care law officially took effect, and voter attitudes about its impact on the cost and quality of care remain basically unchanged and negative.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 57% of Likely U.S. Voters think the cost of health care will go up under the law. Only 19% expect those costs to go down, while 17% say they will stay about the same. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 13-14, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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September 15, 2014

Republican Reaction to Obama Speech Reveals Much -- About Them by Joe Conason

Minutes after President Barack Obama concluded his strong and sensible address explaining how he intends to destroy the terrorist organization the Islamic State, Republicans popped up on television like political snipers. He should have kept a "residual force" in Iraq, complained Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., and he is to blame for the Islamic State's advances. He sounds just like George W. Bush, gloated former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, and he is reluctantly enacting the advice of Dick Cheney.

September 14, 2014

Delaware Senate: Coons (D) 49%, Wade (R) 34%

Democratic Senator Chris Coons looks comfortably on his way to reelection in Delaware.

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Delaware Voters finds Coons leading Republican challenger Kevin Wade by 15 points - 49% to 34%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while 12% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Delaware was conducted on September 10-12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 13, 2014

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls -- Week Ending September 12, 2014

The focus has largely been on which party will control the U.S. Senate after Election Day. But 36 states are also electing governors this November, and quite a few of those races are unusually competitive.

September 12, 2014

Americans Frown on Athletes As Role Models

Despite the highly publicized Ray Rice incident, Americans believe a bit more strongly than they have in the past that athletes set a good example for young people, but most still don't agree.

Just 24% of American Adults think professional athletes are good role models for young children, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. But that’s up from 15% a year ago  and 17% in 2011. Fifty-seven percent (57%) still disagree, while 19% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 10-11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 12, 2014

Hawaii Governor: Ige (D) 40%, Aiona (R) 39%, Hannemann (I) 14%

The race to be the next governor of the Aloha State is nearly dead even.

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Hawaii Voters finds Democrat David Ige with 40% support to Republican Duke Aiona’s 39%. Independent candidate Mufi Hannemann is a distant third with 14% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Hawaii was conducted on September 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 12, 2014

Florida Governor: Crist (D) 42%, Scott (R) 40%

Florida’s gubernatorial race remains neck-and-neck.

In early August, Scott had 42% to 41% lead over Crist. In April, Crist led Scott by six points - 45% to 39%. Florida remains a Toss-Up on the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Gubernatorial Scorecard. (To survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on September 8-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 12, 2014

Most Say Ray Rice Should Be Banned from Football

It’s the punch seen ‘round the world, and most Americans think Ray Rice should be banned from the NFL for throwing it.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 27% of American Adults believe the former Baltimore Ravens star running back should not be banned from the professional game now that the National Football League has a video of him knocking out his fiancée with a punch. Twice as many (55%) say Rice should be banned from professional football. Eighteen percent (18%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 10-11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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September 12, 2014

Large Government Out of Place in a Society Based on Small Technology by Michael Barone

"Twentieth-century technology," writes economic historian Joel Mokyr in the Manhattan Institute's excellent City Journal, "was primarily about 'large' things."

Large in physical size, that is. Mokyr's examples include the diesel engine and the gas turbine, shipping containers, communications satellites launched by giant rockets, oil-drilling platforms, massive power stations, giant steel mills and huge airplanes.

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September 12, 2014

Voters Oppose Tax, Spending Hikes But Think Obama Disagrees

Voters continue to believe cutting taxes and government spending will help the economy, but many still expect the Obama administration to do just the opposite.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 41% of Likely U.S. Voters believe taxes will go up under the Obama administration. This is up four points from 37% in June which was the lowest level measured in nearly two years. Just nine percent (9%) think taxes will go down, while 38% say they will stay about the same. Twelve percent (12%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.