January 29, 2026
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— Despite facing what is likely to be a difficult national political environment this fall, Republicans remain favored to hold their Senate majority.
— President Trump did well among young people and nonwhite voters in 2024 for a Republican, but he has seen his approval erode with those voters. However, that doesn’t have as much of a bearing on the Senate map, with Democrats having to compete in whiter states like Iowa and Ohio.
— Democrats do get a couple of rating upgrades this week, with the biggest change coming in Georgia, as Sen. Jon Ossoff’s (D) race moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.