Texas Senate to Leans Republican Following Paxton Win; TX-35 Makes Same Move; Redistricting Updates By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— In the closely watched Texas Senate race, state Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) easily defeated Sen. John Cornyn (R) in yesterday’s GOP runoff.
— With Paxton’s nomination, the Texas Senate race moves from Likely Republican to Leans Republican, as Republicans went with a riskier general election candidate. But, as our rating suggests, riskier can still win.
— We are making the same move in TX-35, a San Antonio-area seat that was redrawn to have a mild red hue, as Democrats avoided nominating their weaker option.
— Elsewhere in the South, it appears South Carolina’s House map will retain one blue-leaning seat for the 2026 election.