What's Ahead If the Polls Are Right -- or Wrong By Michael Barone
With less than two weeks until the midterm elections, things look bad for President Donald Trump's Republican Party. \
Public Content
Most Recent Releases
October 23, 2026
October 22, 2026
Minnesota Senate: Democrat Flanagan Still Holds Slender Lead
Democrat Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan continues leading Republican Michele Tafoya in the race to fill the Minnesota Senate seat vacated by the retirement of Democratic Sen. Tina Smith.
October 22, 2026
Minnesota Senate: Democrat Flanagan Still Holds Slender Lead
Democrat Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan continues leading Republican Michele Tafoya in the race to fill the Minnesota Senate seat vacated by the retirement of Democratic Sen. Tina Smith.
October 22, 2026
Why George Washington Would Deport Mahmoud Khalil By Daniel McCarthy
Mahmoud Khalil wants to take the case against his deportation all the way to the Supreme Court -- and if the justices accept it, they will be deciding one of the oldest and most controversial questions in American politics, a dispute more than 200 years old.
October 22, 2026
Most Still Rely on News for Candidate Information
A majority of voters turn to the news to get information about candidates, although that reliance has declined.
October 22, 2026
The Governors: Ohio to Leans Democratic Among Other Changes as Dems Eye Gubernatorial Majority By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
Overall ratings summary:
HOUSE: 223 at least Leans D, 200 at least Leans R, 12 Toss-ups. See ratings.
SENATE: 49 at least Leans D, 46 at least Leans R, 5 Toss-ups. See ratings.
GOVERNORS: 26 at least Leans D, 22 at least Leans R, 2 Toss-ups. See ratings.
October 21, 2026
Walking Remains Favorite Fall Weekend Activity
With fall colors nearing their October peak, most Americans say their favorite weekend enjoyment is a long walk outside.
With fall colors nearing their October peak, most Americans say their favorite weekend enjoyment is a long walk outside.The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 73% of adults say it is likely they will take a long walk on a fall weekend, with 40% saying it is Very Likely. These findings haven’t changed much since 2008, when 67% said they were likely to take a long walk on a fall weekend.
October 21, 2026
40% Expect Conviction for Ilhan Omar
Last week’s raid on the home of Rep. Ilhan Omar made headlines, but most voters don’t expect the Minnesota Democrat to be convicted of federal crimes – in part because more than a fifth of them don’t seem to know who she is.
October 21, 2026
Guilty of Wasting Our Time By John Stossel
I shouldn't get so angry. It isn't healthy.
October 20, 2026
Democrats Maintain Edge on Social Security
Voters continue trusting Democrats more to handle Social Security, and consider it an important issue for the midterm elections.
October 20, 2026
The FDA Should Grant Americans the Right to Try New Cancer Treatments By Stephen Moore
Every few months, a young 19-year-old woman from South Carolina boards a plane to London.
October 20, 2026
The House: 28 Rating Changes Push Number of Seats at Least Leaning to Democrats Past 218 By Kyle Kondik
Overall ratings summary:
HOUSE: 223 at least Leans D, 200 at least Leans R, 12 Toss-ups. See ratings.
SENATE: 49 at least Leans D, 46 at least Leans R, 5 Toss-ups. See ratings.
GOVERNORS: 25 at least Leans D, 22 at least Leans R, 3 Toss-ups. See ratings.
October 19, 2026
Alaska Senate: Peltola 44%, Sullivan 42%
Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has taken a narrow lead over Alaska’s incumbent Republican Sen. Dan S. Sullivan in a contest where ranked-choice voting will determine the winner with four names on the November ballot.
October 19, 2026
Alaska Senate: Peltola 44%, Sullivan 42%
Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has taken a narrow lead over Alaska’s incumbent Republican Sen. Dan S. Sullivan in a contest where ranked-choice voting will determine the winner with four names on the November ballot.
October 19, 2026
36% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction
Thirty-six percent (36%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending October 15, 2026.
October 19, 2026
Ohio Senate: Republican Husted Takes Lead
Incumbent Republican Sen. Jon Husted has moved ahead of former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown in the special election for a U.S. Senate seat in Ohio.
October 19, 2026
Midterm Forecast: Democrats 48%, Republicans 44%
The Democratic Party’s lead over Republicans has narrowed to four points in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
October 17, 2026
What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 17, 2026
In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...
October 16, 2026
Election Integrity: Most Think Foreign Votes Could Shift Midterms
A majority of voters believe non-citizens are illegally registered to vote in their state, and consider it likely this could have an impact on this year’s midterm elections.
October 16, 2026
Has Trump Broken His McDonald's Promise? By Michael Barone
The defining moment of the 2024 presidential campaign, it can be argued, came almost exactly two years ago, on Sunday, Oct. 20, when then-former President Donald Trump traded his suit coat for a yellow apron and worked the fry station and the drive-thru window at a McDonald's.
