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December 2, 2007

Partisan Identification: 37.4% Democrat 32.5% Republican

During the month of November, 37.4% of Americans considered themselves to be Democrats, 32.5% said they were Republicans, and 30.2% were not affiliated with either major party.

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December 2, 2007

23% Say United States Heading in Right Direction

A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that just 23% of American voters believe the United States is heading in the right direction. That’s up two points since September, but 71% still believe the nation has gotten off on the wrong track.

December 2, 2007

Obama, McCain Tied at 44%; Obama Leads Romney by Nine

Arizona Senator John McCain has struggled in the race for the GOP nomination, but he continues to be competitive in general-election match-ups with top Democrats.

December 2, 2007

Giuliani and Obama in Toss-up; Obama Leads Thompson by Seven

With the first caucuses and primaries of Election 2008 only weeks away, a new Rasmussen Reports survey of potential general-election bouts shows Senator Barack Obama (D) and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) neck-and-neck, with Obama barely ahead 43% to 41%. In the same poll, Obama moderately leads former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson 48% to 41%.

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December 1, 2007

New Hampshire: Clinton Lead Falls To Single Digits

In New Hampshire, home to the first-in-the-nation Presidential Primary, Hillary Clinton’s lead over Barack Obama is now measured in single digits.

December 1, 2007

Trouble on Mitt Romney's Campaign Trail: A Commentary by Dick Morris

This is not a good time to be Mitt Romney. After almost a year of having the Iowa and New Hampshire airwaves to himself, he is now facing a challenge on the right from Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson and on the left from Rudy Giuliani.

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November 30, 2007

New Hampshire: Romney 34% Giuliani 15% McCain 15% Huckabee 14%

In New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary, the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 34% support and a nineteen-point lead.

November 29, 2007

Iowa Democrats: Clinton 27% Obama 25% Edwards 24%

The Iowa Democratic caucuses remain a three-person race that is far too close to call. The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of the Iowa Democratic Caucus for 2008 finds Hillary Clinton at 27%, Barack Obama at 25%, and John Edwards at 24%. Bill Richardson is the only other Democrat in double-digits at 10% while Joe Biden earns 4% of the vote from Likely Caucus Participants.

November 29, 2007

Confidence in War on Terror Near Highest Level of Bush’s Second Term

Confidence in the War on Terror increased for the fourth straight month in November and is now near the highest level of President Bush’s second term in office.

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November 29, 2007

Notes on the State of Politics II: A Commentary by Larry J. Sabato

This week, the Crystal Ball publishes another installment in our intermittent series of observations on the 2008 campaign and the politics of the day.

November 28, 2007

Who Benefits From the Huckabee Surge in Iowa?: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen

The new Rasmussen Iowa numbers taken together with earlier polls taken by ABC News and the Washington Post, throw many assumptions about the likely result of the Republican Presidential primary into doubt.

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November 28, 2007

What if Huckabee Wins Iowa?

Until recently, one of the few settled features in the race for the Republican nomination was Mitt Romney’s lead in the early voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire.

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November 28, 2007

Iowa: Huckabee 28% Romney 25%

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the Iowa caucus finds former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee with 28% of the vote, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 25% support, and everyone else far behind.

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November 28, 2007

Colorado: Schaffer, Udall Tie for Senate; Clinton Trails Giuliani, Leads Romney

Former Congressman Bob Schaffer (R) and Congressman Mark Udall (D)—vying for the open seat vacated by retiring Senator Wayne Allard, a Republican—are virtually tied when likely Colorado voters consider their state’s 2008 Senate election.

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November 27, 2007

45% Have Started Holiday Shopping; 13% Have Finished

By the end of the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, 45% of American adults had started their holiday shopping. That’s up from 27% earlier in the month.

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November 26, 2007

Economic Confidence of Small Business Owners Continues Downward Trend

Economic confidence among small business owners declined for the fourth straight month in November, as increased pessimism over the U.S. economy dragged down indicators of relative stability at the small business level, according to the Discover Small Business Watch.

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November 26, 2007

Challenge for Democrats in Iowa: Campaigning Tactfully During Holiday Season

You have to feel a little sorry for the people of Iowa. While the waning days of any campaign produce an outpouring of annoying commercials, negativity, and in-your-face solicitations, this year those unsavory features of modern elections will take place in the midst of the holiday season.

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November 26, 2007

Six Weeks to Iowa and the Republican Field Remains Muddled

There’s less than six weeks to go until the Iowa caucuses kick-off Election 2008 and the race for the Republican Presidential nomination remains as muddled as ever.

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November 25, 2007

In February 5 States, Clinton and Giuliani Still on Top

In states holding Primaries or Caucuses on February 5, the races for the Republican and Democratic Presidential nominations look broadly similar to the competition on a national level.

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November 24, 2007

24% Are Both Fiscal and Socially Conservatives, 9% Fiscally and Socially Liberal

Forty-one percent (41%) of American voters say they are conservative when it comes to “fiscal issues such as taxes, government spending, and business regulation.” A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 43% consider themselves fiscally moderate and 12% say liberal.