Florida Senate Race: Castor Strongest Democrat
If Betty Castor wins the Democratic nomination to become Florida's next U.S. Senator, she will begin the race in a toss-up with either Bill McCollum or Mel Martinez.
If Betty Castor wins the Democratic nomination to become Florida's next U.S. Senator, she will begin the race in a toss-up with either Bill McCollum or Mel Martinez.
Forty-five percent (45%) of Likely Voters believe that George W. Bush is more honest and trustworthy than John Kerry. A Rasmussen Reports survey conducted in advance of the Republican National Convention found that 39% believe Kerry is the more honest and trustworthy candidate.
In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 44%.
As the Republican Party prepares for its convention, a look back at Election 2004 reveals an amazingly stable race for the White House. In fact, the monthly polling totals show virtually no movement in the campaign other than a minor bounce related to the Democratic National Convention.
In February, the month that Senator John Kerry became the Democratic Party frontrunner, President George Bush attracted 46.3% of the vote in Rasmussen Reports polling. Kerry, with 45.2% of the vote, trailed by just over a single percentage point.
Many pundits think Ohio may be the decisive state in the Election 2004 Presidential race. If the race remains close it is certainly one of the four biggest states in play for the Electoral College competition (along with Florida, Michigan, and Pennsylvania).
Initial public reaction to a proposal for reducing the number of American troops in Germany and Korea is very positive.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters favor the plan which would station more American troops in the United States while reducing our presence in nations that dominated the Cold War era. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 23% oppose the idea.
A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 47% of America's Likely Voters have a favorable opinion of John Kerry's military service.
In his bid to become the next United States Senator from Colorado, Ken Salazar is currently attracting 49% support from voters in his state. A Rasmussen Reports survey of 500 Likely Voters finds that Republican Pete Coors has support from 45% of Colorado voters.
Add Colorado to the growing list of Toss-Up states on the road to the White House. Earlier this week, new survey data moved Nevada and New Mexico to the Toss-Up Column.
In the race for the White House, Nevada is too close to call.
The first Rasmussen Reports Election 2004 survey in the state finds George W. Bush with 47% of the vote, John Kerry with 46%, and Libertarian Michael Badnarik with 3%.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of Maine voters finds Senator Kerry with 48% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maine by a 49% to 44% margin.
In Washington, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Bush lost Washington's Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.
In Ohio, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Just one month ago, Bush held a four-point lead in the state, 46% to 42%. The month before, it was Bush 46% Kerry 44% in our Ohio poll.
In Pennsylvania, the race for the White House is a virtual tie.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.
In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.
Last month, Kerry had a two-point lead in Michigan, 46% to 44%. At that time, we considered the state a Toss-Up for our Electoral College projections (we require a five-point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).
However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry ahead by six points. At that time, we moved Michigan to the "Leans Kerry" column. These latest results confirm that Michigan is still leaning slightly in the Democratic direction.
Florida, the decisive state in Election 2000 us a toss-up for Election 2004.
New Jersey remains likely to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November.
In Oregon, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 47% of the vote and President Bush with 41%. Four years ago, Bush lost Oregon's 7 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by less than one percent of all votes cast.
The race for the six Electoral College votes from Arkansas is tied.
A Rasmussen Reports survey shows that military veterans prefer George W. Bush over John Kerry by a 58% to 35% margin. Those with no military service favor Kerry by ten percentage points, 51% to 41%.