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Politics

Most Recent Releases

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June 1, 2004

54% Will Consider Voting for Bush, 39% Won't

Fifty-four percent (54%) of American voters say that they would consider voting for George W. Bush under certain circumstances. A Rasmussen Reports survey of 2,000 Likely Voters finds that 39% will not vote for the President under any circumstances.

As for Senator Kerry, 49% say they would consider voting for him while 39% definitely would not. Selected demographic breakdowns are available for RR Premium Members.

These results come at a time when the candidates have been locked in a dead heat for months. Ninety-one percent (91%) of those who would consider voting for Kerry already plan to vote for him. Just 3% of those who would consider Kerry are currently planning to vote for Bush.

However, just 81% of those who would consider voting for Bush are planning to vote for him at this time. Another 10% of these potential supporters are currently planning to vote for Kerry.

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June 1, 2004

12% Would Consider Either Bush or Kerry

Twelve percent (12%) of America's Likely Voters say that they would consider voting for both George W. Bush and John F. Kerry. At a time when the campaign has been tied for months, these swing voters are vitally important to both campaigns.

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May 26, 2004

Russo Poised to Attract Anti-War Votes

Nineteen percent (19%) of Americans would consider voting for Aaron Russo if they knew he would end the War in Iraq and bring our troops home. Russo is a candidate for the Libertarian Party Presidential nomination.

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May 24, 2004

62% Say Tax Hikes Next Year Will Hurt Economy

Sixty-two percent (62%) of American voters believe that raising taxes next year will hurt the economy. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey found that just 17% believe that tax hikes will help the economy. Another 14% say raising taxes will have no impact.

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May 20, 2004

To Control Government Spending: 41% Trust Kerry

Forty-one percent (41%) of American voters trust John Kerry more than George W. Bush when it comes to controlling government spending. A nearly identical number, 40% trust Bush more.

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May 20, 2004

57% Say Bush Conservative

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of American voters believe that, in political terms, George W. Bush is conservative. Another 28% see the President as moderate.

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May 18, 2004

44% Say Iraqi Prison Abuse Isolated Event

Americans are more likely today than they were two weeks ago to believe that the Iraqi prison abuse was fairly widespread. However, that has not dented their belief that the Iraqi people are better off today than they were under Saddam Hussein.

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May 18, 2004

Illinois Senate: Obama 48% Ryan 40%

In the Illinois campaign for the U.S. Senate, Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican Jack Ryan 48% to 40%.

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May 17, 2004

Illinois: Kerry 48% Bush 43%

In Illinois, the latest Rasmussen Reports poll finds Senator John F. Kerry with 48% of the vote to 43% for President George W. Bush.

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May 14, 2004

Is Zogby Right? Is the Election Kerry's to Lose?

Last Sunday, pollster John Zogby created quite a stir by announcing his view that the election is now Kerry's to lose. John is a good pollster and makes many good points, but I respectfully disagree with him on this one.

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May 13, 2004

50% Say Iraq Will Get Worse in Coming Months

Half of America's voters expect the situation in Iraq to get worse during the coming months. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that just 30% expect things to get better.

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May 7, 2004

48% Say Iraqi Prison Abuse Isolated Event

Nine-out-of-ten Americans have read, seen, or heard news stories about the abuse of Iraqi prisoners. Half of all voters (48%) believe that such abuses represent an isolated event. However, 29% believe such practices are fairly widespread.

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May 3, 2004

Arkansas: Bush 45% Kerry 45%

President George W. Bush and Senator John F. Kerry are tied in Arkansas. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey in that state found both men earning 45% of the vote.

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April 29, 2004

Wisconsin: Kerry 50% Bush 42%

Senator John F. Kerry holds an eight-point lead over President George W. Bush in Wisconsin. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey in that state found Kerry earning 50% of the vote to Bush's 42%.

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April 27, 2004

38% Have Favorable Opinion of U.N.

Just 38% of American voters have a favorable opinion of the United Nations these days. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey found that 44% have an unfavorable view.

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April 27, 2004

38% Have Favorable Opinion of U.N.

Just 38% of American voters have a favorable opinion of the United Nations these days. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey found that 44% have an unfavorable view.

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April 26, 2004

Oregon: Kerry 46% Bush 45%

Four years ago, Al Gore defeated George W. Bush in Oregon by about 7,000 votes out of more than 1.5 million. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey in Oregon finds that things are just as close today.

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April 25, 2004

California: Kerry 51% Bush 40%

In the state of California, a Rasmussen Reports survey finds that Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry leads President George W. Bush by eleven points, 51% to 40%. That spread matches the 11 point margin of victory earned by Al Gore four years ago.

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April 25, 2004

Are National Presidential Polls Relevant?

Many people have written recently with various forms of the same message: "National polls don't matter in the Presidential Race. As we learned four years ago, the only thing that counts is the Electoral College."

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April 23, 2004

New Hampshire Still Close Kerry 47% Bush 45%

Four years ago, George W. Bush won New Hampshire's four Electoral Votes by a single percentage point (48% to 47%). In Election 2004, it may be that close again.

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