Elections

Arizona Senate: Flake (R) 50%, Carmona (D) 44%

Republican Congressman Jeff Flake has hit the 50% mark for the first time in the U.S. Senate race in Arizona.

A new Rasmussen Reports/CBS 5 survey finds Flake with 50% of the vote to Democrat Richard Carmona’s 44%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. This survey was taken following the candidates' recent debate. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Dakota Governor: Dalrymple (R) 53%, Taylor (D) 39%

Republican incumbent Jack Dalrymple continues to hold a healthy lead over his Democratic challenger Ryan Taylor in the North Dakota gubernatorial race. 

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters finds Dalrymple earning 53% of the vote to Ryan Taylor's 39%.  Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 48%

President Obama still receives 50% of the vote in Nevada’s tight presidential race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, shows Obama with 50% support to Mitt Romney’s 48%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Minnesota Senate: Klobuchar (D) 56%, Bills (R) 33%

Incumbent Democrat Amy Klobuchar holds a double-digit lead in her bid for reelection to the U.S. Senate in Minnesota.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Minnesota Voters finds Klobuchar leading Republican challenger Kurt Bills 56% to 33%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Connecticut: Obama 52%, Romney 45%

Connecticut remains Obama country again in this year’s presidential race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Connecticut Voters shows President Obama with 52% support to Mitt Romney’s 45%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Connecticut survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

Minnesota: Obama 51%, Romney 46%

President Obama earns just over 50% of the vote in Minnesota. 

A new telephone survey of Likely Minnesota Voters finds Barack Obama with 51% support to 46% for Mitt Romney.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) is undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Minnesota is Leans Obama in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Dakota Senate: Berg (R) 50%, Heitkamp (D) 45%

Republican Congressman Rick Berg still holds a modest lead over former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in North Dakota finds Berg with 50% support to Heitkamp’s 45%. Five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Dakota: Romney 54%, Obama 40%

Mitt Romney maintains a comfortable lead over President Obama in North Dakota.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters shows Romney with 54% of the vote to Obama’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

47% See Better Economy With Romney, 35% With Obama

More voters than ever think the economy will get better if Mitt Romney is elected president. Nearly as many expect the economy to get worse if President Obama is reelected.  A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters now believe that if Romney is elected president and the Republicans win control of Congress, the economy will get better. Thirty-two percent (32%) think it will get worse under Romney. If Obama is reelected and the Democrats regain control of Congress, 35% think the economy will improve, while 42% say it will get worse.

Roughly one-in-five voters think the economy will stay about the same, no matter which man is elected president. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Washington Senate: Cantwell (D) 52%, Baumgartner (R) 37%

Democratic incumbent Maria Cantwell continues to hold a commanding lead over Republican challenger Michael Baumgartner in Washington State’s U.S. Senate race. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Washington Voters finds Cantwell earning 52% support, while Baumgartner, a state senator, draws 37% of the vote. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Missouri Senate: McCaskill 51%, Akin 43%

Incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill continues to lead Republican Congressman Todd Akin in Missouri’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters shows McCaskill with 51% of the vote to Akin’s 43%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Missouri survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

Missouri: Romney 54%, Obama 43%

Mitt Romney now has a double-digit lead in Missouri.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters, taken the night after the second presidential debate, finds Romney with 54% support to President Obama’s 43%. One percent (1%) favors some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Washington: Obama 55%, Romney 42%

President Obama has extended his lead over Mitt Romney in Washington State.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Washington Voters finds Obama with 55% support to 42% for Romney. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

In Rasmussen Reports’ first look at this race in late September, Obama held a 52% to 44% advantage over his GOP challenger. 

Washington now moves from Likely Obama to Safe Obama in the Electoral College Scoreboard. Obama defeated Senator John McCain 58% to 41% in the state in 2008.

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Washington Governor: Inslee (D) 47%, McKenna (R) 45%

The race to be Washington’s next governor remains virtually tied.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Democrat Jay Inslee holding a slight edge over Republican Rob McKenna, 47% to 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

19% See PBS/NPR Funding As A Major Issue

Mitt Romney in the first presidential debate said he would cut funding for public broadcasting as part of his overall plan to reduce government spending, and Democrats responded by running ads with Sesame Street's Big Bird defending taxpayer-funded television. But just 19% of Americans think cutting funding to the Public Broadcasting Service (PBS) and National Public Radio (NPR) should be a major issue in the current presidential election. 

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 66% of adults do not see funding for public broadcasting as a major campaign issue, but 15% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 10-11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Michigan Senate: Stabenow (D) 51%, Hoekstra (R) 39%

Democratic incumbent Debbie Stabenow still earns over 50% support in Michigan’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Stabenow with 51% support while her Republican challenger, Peter Hoekstra, receives 39% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while seven percent (7%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Michigan was conducted on October 11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

New Mexico Senate: Heinrich (D) 52%, Wilson (R) 39%

Democrat Martin Heinrich maintains his double-digit lead over his Republican challenger, Heather Wilson, in New Mexico’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Heinrich with 52% support to Wilson’s 39%.  Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while another five percent (5%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This New Mexico survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology. 

18% Consider Vice Presidential Debate Very Important To Their Vote

Voters are attaching less importance to tonight’s vice presidential debate compared to the one four years ago but think Paul Ryan will do more in the debate to help his running mate than Joe Biden will. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 58% of Likely U.S. Voters consider the performance of the vice presidential candidates in the debate to be at least somewhat important to how they will vote, while 40% disagree. This includes 18% who view the candidates’ performances as Very Important and 12% who rate them as Not At All Important to their vote. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 9-10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

New Mexico: Obama 54%, Romney 43%

President Obama continues to hold an 11-point lead over Mitt Romney in New Mexico.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of New Mexico Likely Voters shows the president with 54% of the vote to Romney’s 43%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate,  and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

This New Mexico survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Voters Trust Romney 50% to 43% Over Obama on Economy

Voters again trust Mitt Romney slightly more than President Obama on five major issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports. The widest gap in trust continues to be the economy where Romney has a seven-point lead.

The latest national telephone survey finds that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters trust Romney more than the president when it comes to handling the economy, the issue that remains number one among voters as Election Day approaches. Forty-three percent (43%) trust the president more. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad. This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 7-8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.