Trump’s Opponent Not Important to Most Anti-Trump Voters

Just over half of voters continue to say they’re likely to vote against President Trump this fall. A sizable majority of those voters don’t seem to care who runs against him.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters are more likely to vote for Trump in the 2020 presidential election. Fifty-one percent (51%) say they’re more likely to vote against him. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

These findings are unchanged from January. Last September when Rasmussen Reports first asked this question, 42% said they were more likely to vote for the president; 52% were not.

Among those who say they are more likely to vote against Trump, 63% say their vote is more likely to be against him than for some other candidate, up from 50% in January and 58% last year. Thirty-two percent (32%) say their vote is more likely to be for some other candidate on the ballot.

That’s potential good news for Democrats who appear about to choose former Vice President Joe Biden as their nominee. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters think Biden is suffering from some form of dementia, and 61% believe it is important for him to address the dementia issue publicly.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted July 1-2, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Rasmussen Reports will launch its new weekly White House Watch survey today at noon, pitting Trump versus Biden.

Trump earns 75% support among his fellow Republicans, 20% of the Democrat vote and 41% of voters not affiliated with either major political party. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Democrats and 51% of unaffiliateds plan to vote against him, along with 22% of GOP voters.

Trump opponents in nearly every demographic group are far more likely to say they are voting against him rather than for some other candidate.

Men are more likely than women to vote for Trump. Seniors are the age group most likely to vote against him.

Opposition to the president income-wise is highest among middle-income voters.

Biden held a 48% to 43% lead over Trump in mid-May, with voters expressing slightly more confidence in the Democrat to bring the country back economically from the coronavirus lockdown.

The president’s daily job approval rating has fallen during the lockdown and the recent racial unrest.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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