Tuesday, March 03, 2020
As Super Tuesday dawns, Joe Biden has jumped back ahead nationally in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, with Bernie Sanders in second. Despite spending over half-a-billion dollars on campaign advertising, Michael Bloomberg has faded to third.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds Biden with 32% support among Likely Democratic Voters. Sanders is in second place at 28%, with Bloomberg a distant third at 13%. Eleven percent (11%) of Democrats prefer Elizabeth Warren.
The remaining candidates, all of whom have since quit the race since Saturday’s South Carolina primary, are in single digits among Democrats nationally: Pete Buttigieg (6%), Amy Klobuchar (3%) and Tom Steyer (statistically 0%). Three percent (3%) of Democrats like someone else, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Just two weeks ago, following Sanders’ wins in the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, Bloomberg who wasn’t on either state’s Democratic ballot edged out front among Democrats nationwide with 26% support. Biden was a close second at 22%, followed by Sanders with 18%.
Bloomberg did not strongly campaign in the early states, pinning his hopes on today’s Super Tuesday primaries.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted March 1-2, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
More moderate Democrats, fearful of a Sanders nomination following his early state wins, have been rallying to Biden. President Trump would KO Sanders, an outspoken socialist, if the 2020 presidential election were held today.
Among all likely voters, it’s Biden with 26% to Sanders’ 20%. Bloomberg is in third with 15% support. Warren and Buttigieg earn seven percent (7%) apiece, followed by Klobuchar (4%) and Steyer (2%). Nine percent (9%) like some other candidate, and 11% are undecided.
Biden (20%) and Sanders (19%) are tied among voters not affiliated with either major party. Bloomberg picks up 17% of these voters, followed by Buttigieg at 10%. The others are in single digits.
Sanders continues to run strongest among those under 40. Biden is well ahead among older voters.
While black voters were the key to Biden’s big win in Saturday’s South Carolina primary, nationally Biden and Sanders run even among blacks. Whites prefer Biden. Sanders is well ahead among other minority voters.
Despite Sanders’ early front-runner status in the race for the Democratic nomination, voters aren’t showing more enthusiasm for socialism. Democrats remain more receptive than other voters.
Prior to Sanders’ surge, just over half of voters said Democrats have a good chance of defeating Trump in November no matter which opponent he faces.
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