Sarah Palin, it seems, is the only one who know for sure whether she’ll run for president, but she continues to run worse against President Obama than the four top Republican hopefuls already in the race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Obama earning 47% of the vote to Palin’s 35%. Fourteen percent (14%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see question wording, click here.) That’s a bit closer than the results from three weeks ago.
Palin is scheduled to make a major appearance at a Tea Party gathering in Iowa today with many speculating about what she might announce. Voters aren’t really sure if she’ll run for president, but 60% think it would be bad for the GOP if Palin enters the race. Even most Republicans (52%) feel that way.
Obama now picks up 83% of the Democratic voter against Palin and leads among voters not affiliated with either major party by a 45% to 32% margin. Palin captures 66% of the Republican vote, with nearly one-in-four GOP voters (22%) favoring another candidate or undecided.
Eighty-four percent (84%) of Tea Party voters prefer Palin. Sixty percent (60%) of those who are not members of the grass roots movement opt for the president.
For the first time this year, Texas Governor Rick Perry, the current Republican frontrunner, leads Obama in a national Election 2012 survey – by a narrow 44% to 41% margin. Obama earns 39% to 48% of the vote depending on which GOP hopeful he is matched against.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The match-up survey of 1,000 Likely Voters were conducted August 31-September 1, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error for the surveys is +/- 3% with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.
We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.
Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.
To learn more about our methodology, click here.