Election 2004

Maryland: Kerry 53% Bush 39%

In Maryland, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 53% of the vote and President Bush with 39%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maryland 57% to 40%..

2004 Re-match

A polling rematch of the 2004 Presidential Election shows that John Kerry leads George W. Bush 48% to 41%.

46% "Plan" to Watch Edwards' Speech

Nearly half the nation's voters, 46%, plan to watch Vice-Presidential candidate John Edwards' acceptance speech tonight.

The GOP Generation

This is "not the result of a single election which the Republicans won by three percentage points. President Bush is in a position to close a sale with American voters that was first proposed by Ronald Reagan a generation ago... Republicans have gained ground in Congress under four of the last five Presidents."

Election 2004 Bush-Kerry Tracking Poll

President George W. Bush won the popular vote on November 2 by a 50.7% to 48.2% margin over Senator John Kerry. The final Rasmussen Reports projection had shown the President winning 50.2% to 48.5%.

State-by-State Actual Results vs. Rasmussen Reports™ Polls

The final, certified, results of Election 2004 show that President George W. Bush received 50.7% of the vote while Senator John Kerry earned 48.3%. Those figures are very close to the final Rasmussen Reports Daily Tracking Poll. We projected the President would win 50.2% to 48.5%.

State-by-State Actual Results vs. Rasmussen Reports™ Polls

The final, certified, results of Election 2004 show that President George W. Bush received 50.7% of the vote while Senator John Kerry earned 48.3%. Those figures are very close to the final Rasmussen Reports Daily Tracking Poll. We projected the President would win 50.2% to 48.5%.

44% Rate Bush Good/Excellent on Iraq

Three weeks following the battle for Fallujah, 44% voters rate President Bush's handling of the situation in Iraq good or excellent while 41% say he is doing a poor job in this area. That's unchanged from a week ago.

State-by-state actual results vs. RR polls

Throughout the campaign Rasmussen Reports projected the results of the Presidential campaign in 27 individual states.

Electoral College Viewers Guide

Heading into Election Day, George W. Bush has the lead in states with 222 Electoral Votes while John Kerry leads in states with 186. Eleven states with 130 Electoral Votes remain in the Toss-Up column.

Election 2004: Month-by-Month

Data from 269 days of Rasmussen Reports Tracking Polls provides a reminder of just how close the campaign has been all year... and for how long it has been so painfully close.

New Jersey: Kerry 53% Bush 41%

The latest Rasmussen Reports New Jersey survey finds Senator Kerry with 53% of the vote while President Bush earns 41%. The Garden State appeared to be in play for a period of time following the Republican National Convention, but it now appears safely back in the Democrats' column. It will remain as a "Leans Kerry" for our Electoral College projection.

Electoral College Projections

Three days to go and the latest Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projection shows George W. Bush with 222 Electoral Votes and John Kerry with 186. There are now eleven states with 130 Electoral Votes in the Toss-Up category.

Michigan: Kerry 50% Bush 47%

In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 47%. Four years ago, Al Gore won the state with a solid 51% to 46% margin of victory.

Kerry has been consistently ahead in our daily Michigan Tracking Poll provided to Premium Members. However, his lead has declined recently and been smaller than five percentage points for three consecutive days. As a result, Michigan moves back to "Toss-Up" status for our Electoral College projections.

Bush vs. Kerry on Economy and War

The War on Terror and the economy have been and remain the fundamental issues of Election 2004. We have tracked voter preference on these issues every week since January.

Florida: Bush 50% Kerry 45%

In Florida, the most infamous Toss-Up State of Election 2000, President George Bush has the lead heading into the final weekend of Election 2004.

Battleground States

In the sixteen-Battleground States that are likely to determine the winner of Election 2004, it's as close as it can be--President Bush has 48.0% of the vote and Senator Kerry has 47.5%.

In SD Senate Race, Thune 49% Daschle 46%

In the South Dakota Senate race, former Congressman John Thune attracts 49% of the vote while Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle earns 46%.

Arizona: Bush 50% Kerry 45%

In Arizona, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 50% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%. Libertarian Michael Badnarik attracts 3% of the state's vote.

Generation Jones Women are Swing Voters

Since July, 40-49 yr. old (Generation Jones) women have vacillated more than other generations of women between John Kerry and George W. Bush.