If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

White letter R on blue background
June 2, 2011

Gates' Verdict: Pentagon's Biggest Enemy Is Itself By Michael Barone

Defense Secretary Robert Gates leaves office this month as widely respected as any public figure in America today, appreciated for his willingness to return to public service at a moment of high danger in Iraq and to faithfully serve presidents of both parties.

White letter R on blue background
June 1, 2011

The (Political) Rules By Susan Estrich

"The Rules" urged women trying to hook a man to play "hard to get." As insulting, dehumanizing and childish as the rules might have been (for instance, say no if he doesn't call by Wednesday for the weekend), there's plenty of anecdotal evidence (not to mention the sales figures for the book) suggesting they work.

White letter R on blue background
June 1, 2011

Out of Deficit, More Democracy By Tony Blankley

While Western media continue to rhapsodize about the "Arab Spring democratic revolutions" in the Middle East, it may be that the real democratic revolution is beginning to occur in the European Union and the United States. And if the timing is right, the crisis in the European Union may play a decisive part in tipping the American electorate against President Obama and the Democrats in our 2012 elections.

White letter R on blue background
May 30, 2011

Pro-Obama Media Always Shocked by Bad Economic News By Michael Barone

Unexpectedly! As megablogger Glenn Reynolds, aka Instapundit, has noted with amusement, the word "unexpectedly" or variants thereon keep cropping up in mainstream media stories about the economy.

White letter R on blue background
May 29, 2011

Soft-on-Crime Cycle Repeats By Debra J. Saunders

The good news: Last year, California's homicide rate dropped to its lowest level since 1966. Violent crimes were down from the year before. 

White letter R on blue background
May 28, 2011

Eric Cantor's 5 Percent Growth Strategy By Lawrence Kudlow

House Majority Leader Eric Cantor turned the policy temperature down on austerity this week by rolling out a strong economic-growth agenda. Headlined by a 25 percent top tax rate for individuals and business, the Cantor package includes regulatory relief, free trade and patent protection for entrepreneurs. It's job creation and the economy, stupid.

White letter R on blue background
May 28, 2011

Baby's Fall By Susan Estrich

I was bouncing back and forth between worrying about my daughter flying to Ukraine (very far away, 4 connections, 1 airline I'd never heard of, very far away) and worrying about what I was going to say to a very smart, tough federal judge who was about to keep me on my feet for hours arguing on behalf of my client. 

White letter R on blue background
May 28, 2011

In Cyberspace, Everyone's a Critic; Business Laments By Froma Harrop

On the prowl for a good dinner in a Florida town we didn't know well, I went on Yelp. Yelp is a social networking website that lets anyone review a business. One Italian restaurant looked promising, with mostly positive reviews and few grumbles. We went there, had a fine meal and told the chef-owner so. But on mentioning that we had seen the reviews on Yelp, a cloud crossed his face.

White letter R on blue background
May 27, 2011

On To The Senate, With A Detour In The House By Larry J. Sabato

Right now, first-term Rep. Rick Berg (R-ND) looks likely to be elected to the Senate seat left open by the retirement of Kent Conrad (D) in November 2012. The Crystal Ball wondered: How rare is it for someone to get such a fast elevation from the House to the Senate? (We realize some House members will insist it is a demotion.) We've scoured the records and identified nine members of the Senate in this category. Only senators in office sometime in the previous 50 years were included.

White letter R on blue background
May 27, 2011

Where Are The Obama Scandals? By Brendan Nyhan

One of the least remarked upon aspects of the Obama presidency has been the lack of scandals. Since Watergate, presidential and executive branch scandal has been an inescapable feature of the American presidency, but the current administration has not yet suffered a major scandal, which I define as a widespread elite perception of wrongdoing. What happened, and what are the odds that the administration's streak will continue?

White letter R on blue background
May 27, 2011

Will Obama Need To Find His Inner "Wilson"? By Rhodes Cook

Take a poll of political pundits about next year's presidential election, and most at this point would probably predict that President Barack Obama would win reelection, but with a reduced margin from 2008 in both the popular and electoral vote. Yet if that actually happens, it would be an historical rarity of the first order.

White letter R on blue background
May 26, 2011

Are Voters As Stupid As Insiders Think? By Debra J. Saunders

Do Americans have the will to cut government spending in order to curb the rampant growth in government debt and liabilities? Not if the politicians they send to Washington have anything to do with it.

White letter R on blue background
May 26, 2011

All Eyes on the Storm By Froma Harrop

In 1954, E.B. White wrote a piece in The New Yorker about a hurricane hitting his part of Maine. The moment it left Boston, he notes in "The Eye of Edna," the radio voices declared the violent storm over -- even as it continued barreling toward the coast of Maine. When the wind "began to tear everything to pieces, what we got on the radio was a man doing a whistling act and somebody playing the glockenspiel."  

White letter R on blue background
May 26, 2011

Obama Skirts Rule of Law to Reward Pals, Punish Enemies By Michael Barone

Question: What do the following have in common? Eckert Cold Storage Co., Kerly Homes of Yuma, Classic Party Rentals, West Coast Turf Inc., Ellenbecker Investment Group Inc., Only in San Francisco, Hotel Nikko, International Pacific Halibut Commission, City of Puyallup, Local 485 Health and Welfare Fund, Chicago Plastering Institute Health & Welfare Fund, Blue Cross Blue Shield of Tennessee, Teamsters Local 522 Fund Welfare Fund Roofers Division, StayWell Saipan Basic Plan, CIGNA, Caribbean Workers' Voluntary Employees' Beneficiary Health and Welfare Plan.

White letter R on blue background
May 25, 2011

Mideast Communications Chaos By Tony Blankley

The president's speech last week, which was described by the White House in advance as a speech intended to reach out to the Muslim world, will probably go down as one of the least well-understood major presidential speeches in modern memory.

White letter R on blue background
May 24, 2011

Supreme Court's Scary Power Grab By Debra J. Saunders

The U.S. Supreme Court effectively ordered California on Monday to release 33,000 inmates over two years from an in-state prison population that numbers about 143,000.

White letter R on blue background
May 24, 2011

Playing Chicken With Full Faith and Credit By Froma Harrop

New polling by Rasmussen shows voters highly conflicted over which party to blame for our economic troubles and which is best able to end them. But Americans agree on one thing: The economy is lousy. And from that, we can reasonably deduce that they don't want a lousier economy.

White letter R on blue background
May 23, 2011

Obama Channels W. Except on Israel and Palestinians By Michael Barone

"The State Department is a fitting venue," declared Barack Obama at the beginning of his speech on the Middle East last Thursday.

White letter R on blue background
May 21, 2011

Women on Trial By Susan Estrich

Shame on The New York Times. A housekeeper gets pregnant by the famous and powerful man for whom she works. For 10 years, she continues to work in the home and never says a word. After 20 years of service, she retires and buys a house 100 miles away to raise her son.

White letter R on blue background
May 20, 2011

NY-26 Special Election: Mind The Debate, Forget The Decision By Kyle Kondik

The nation got a preview of the Democrats' sweeping congressional election victories in 2010 when Democratic candidates pulled off victories in three close special House elections. The results were just the first of many for Democrats in the last cycle, when…