If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

White letter R on blue background
May 20, 2022

Quo Vadis, Mother Russia? By Patrick J. Buchanan

"The demise of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century," said Russia's new ruler Vladimir Putin in his 2005 state of the nation address.

White letter R on blue background
May 19, 2022

The Battle for State Legislatures By Louis Jacobson

Looking for competition in sorted statehouses.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

– In addition to usually facing midterm headwinds in federal races, the presidential party also often struggles in state legislative races in those years.

– However, Republicans have already made such impressive state legislative gains over the past dozen years that they do not have a ton of Democratic-held chambers to target.

–Republicans could plausibly flip chambers in states like Maine and Minnesota, while a better redistricting map could help Democrats in Michigan, a key battleground.

White letter R on blue background
May 18, 2022

Pumping Up Prices by John Stossel

The price of gas keeps rising.

White letter R on blue background
May 17, 2022

When the People Tasked With Protecting Our Children Are the Villains by Stephen Moore

The evidence shows that school closures during COVID were an epic public policy blunder. The school lockdowns in many states were arguably the most significant episode of government-sponsored child abuse in American history.

White letter R on blue background
May 17, 2022

Why Would US Give a War Guarantee -- to Finland? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Seeing Russia invade Ukraine, historically neutral Finland has undergone a late conversion and decided to join NATO immediately.

White letter R on blue background
May 13, 2022

Progressives' Version of 'Democracy': 2 Plus 2 Equals 5 by Michael Barone

They may or may not have been playing the song "The World Turned Upside Down" when Lord Charles Cornwallis's troops surrendered to Gen. George Washington at Yorktown in 1781, but there's good reason to sing it now.

White letter R on blue background
May 13, 2022

Are All Court-Created Rights Now in Peril? By Patrick J. Buchanan

In the storm that erupted over the leaked draft opinion of Justice Samuel Alito, which would overturn Roe v. Wade, a secondary alarm has arisen among our elites.

White letter R on blue background
May 12, 2022

The Kinds of Seats that Flip in Midterms By Kyle Kondik

Looking back on past recent waves to assess Republicans’ potential in November.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— While increasingly salient issues like abortion could change the political environment, Republicans still appear on track for a strong showing in the U.S. House.

— Recent midterms have hollowed out the presidential party’s holdings of districts where the president either did the same or worse than he did nationally or only a little better.

— Republicans likely will have trouble winning districts where Joe Biden won more than 55% of the vote, but that still leaves them dozens of Democratic-held targets below that mark as redistricting is finalized.

White letter R on blue background
May 11, 2022

Organic BS by John Stossel

Activists have convinced Americans that "organic" food is better -- healthier, better-tasting, life-extending.

White letter R on blue background
May 10, 2022

Beware the Popping of the Housing Bubble by Stephen Moore

Washington never learns. Never. Politicians are like collective Alzheimer's disease patients. They have no short-term memories.

White letter R on blue background
May 10, 2022

Is Ukraine's War Now America's War? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Last week, sources leaked to The New York Times that, in Ukraine's targeting and killing of Russian generals and the sinking of Russia's Black Sea flagship, the Moskva, U.S. intelligence played an indispensable role.

White letter R on blue background
May 6, 2022

Redistricting Proved To Be Much Ado About Not Very Much by Michael Barone

The congressional redistricting wars are mostly over. Much of the hoopla surrounding it is proving overheated.

White letter R on blue background
May 6, 2022

Alito 5 Must Stay the Course By Patrick J. Buchanan

Whoever leaked Alito's draft, it was a violation of an oath, an unethical act and a betrayal that ought to see the perpetrator fired in disgrace and disbarred permanently from the practice of law.

White letter R on blue background
May 5, 2022

How Abortion Might Motivate or Persuade Voters in the Midterms By Kyle Kondik, Larry Schack, and Mick McWilliams

Project Home Fire data reveal partisan attitudes on abortion.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— The end of Roe vs. Wade could potentially give Democrats a better chance to motivate their own voters and/or persuade Republican-leaning swing voters.

— Public opinion on abortion is nuanced, although more are likelier to take the pro-abortion rights side on a couple of key questions.

— It’s unclear whether abortion opinions would outweigh the public’s opinions about other issues where Democrats are vulnerable.

White letter R on blue background
May 4, 2022

Home Theft John Stossel

Did you know that in some states, if you miss one tax payment, local politicians will take your home, sell it and keep all the profits?

White letter R on blue background
May 3, 2022

Canceling Student Loan Debt Would Make College More Expensive by Stephen Moore

It might be the biggest giveaway in American history. President Joe Biden wants to cancel more than $1 trillion of outstanding student loan debt. Biden has already delayed for more than a year student loan repayment, and under his new rules, most delinquent and deadbeat borrowers would NEVER have to repay.

White letter R on blue background
May 3, 2022

Are Biden Democrats Holding a Losing Hand? By Patrick J. Buchanan

"Sometimes nothing is a real cool hand."

White letter R on blue background
April 29, 2022

People Are Fleeing the Self-harm Progressives Inflicted on Their Own Cities by Michael Barone

In recent weeks, I've noted how, as COVID-19 mask mandates fall by the wayside, the nation has been moving away from what now seems excessive risk aversion. And I've described the National Bureau of Economic Research paper assessing how the costs of the lockdowns have exceeded the benefits.

White letter R on blue background
April 29, 2022

Will Putin Submit to US-Imposed 'Weakening'? By Patrick J. Buchanan

"Once war is forced upon us, there is no alternative than to apply every available means to bring it to a swift end. War's very object is victory -- not prolonged indecision."

White letter R on blue background
April 28, 2022

How Minority Parties (Might) Compete in One-Party States By Louis Jacobson

Playing in other party’s primary or backing an independent candidate are two possible options.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— In an increasingly polarized nation, one party often dominates in a state while the other is seemingly consigned to permanent irrelevance. In such states, primary voters for the dominant party are able to flex their muscles to nominate a comparatively extreme candidate, who is all but assured a victory in the general election.

— One creative way that minority parties in at least some of these states could fight back is to stop running candidates for major offices like senator and governor, and instead encourage their voters to vote for the more moderate candidate in the dominant party’s primary. This is at least theoretically possible in states where primaries are “open” to all voters, rather than just those registered to the party in question.

— Another is to back an independent candidate instead of nominating their own candidate, as Democrats recently chose to do in Utah.