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Commentary By Nick Field

Most Recent Releases

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December 18, 2025

Examining Democrats’ 2025 Victories in Pennsylvania and What They Could Mean for the Future By Nick Field

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— In Pennsylvania, Democrats swept this year’s state Supreme Court retention contests, which could be interpreted as a victory for Gov. Josh Shapiro (D) as he looks ahead to 2026, and perhaps beyond.

— In swing counties like Erie and Northampton, Democratic county executive nominees outperformed Kamala Harris’s 2024 showing, including with Hispanic voters.

— Republicans did continue to narrow Democrats’ statewide voter registration advantage throughout 2025, although Democrats did end the year on a better note.

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January 23, 2025

How Donald Trump Changed Pennsylvania’s Electorate: Tracking Voter Registration Trends Over the Past Decade By Nick Field

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— Pennsylvania changed in the Trump era from being a somewhat Democratic-leaning state to a top presidential battleground, voting for the winning candidate in all 3 of Donald Trump’s elections.

— One indicator of the GOP’s growth in the state is changing voter registration patterns, as Republicans have drastically reduced the Democrats’ voter registration edge in the state in the Trump era.

— All but 3 of the state’s 67 counties have seen the Republicans net registered voters since 2015.

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