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“Lincoln” Is the Oscar Favorite

Academy Award nominations were announced last week, and even though the 85th annual awards show does not air until February 24, most movie goers already have their winners picked. But only 44% say their favorite film of 2012 is an Oscar nominee for best picture, and even fewer think artistic merit is the biggest reason for a film to be nominated.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of movie goers think Steven Spielberg’s “Lincoln” will take home the Best Picture prize come Oscar night, while 18% expect the blockbuster film adaptation of “Les Miserables” to win the prized statue, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. That’s followed closely by “Argo,” the dramatization of the 1980 attempt to extract fugitive American diplomats from Iran, with 12% support. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The national survey of 500 Movie Goers was conducted on January 15, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

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