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What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 27 20120

So where do we stand with Election Day a week-and-a-half away?

The Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections show President Obama with 237 Electoral Votes and Mitt Romney with 206. The magic number needed to win the White House is 270. Eight states with 95 Electoral College votes remain Toss-ups: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin.

New polling from Florida and Virginia  shows Romney with a two-point advantage in both states. Romney’s also ahead by two in New Hampshire and up by four in Colorado.  The president leads by two in Nevada.  The candidates are tied in Iowa, Ohio and Wisconsin.

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49%, Allen (R) 48%

Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George Allen remain deadlocked in Virginia’s U.S. Senate race with Election Day less than two weeks away.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Kaine with 49% support to Allen’s 48%. Three percent (3%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49%

President Obama and Mitt Romney are now tied in the critical battleground state of Wisconsin.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters shows the president and his Republican challenger each earning 49% support. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.  

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This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

Mitt Romney still earns 50% support in Virginia, but the presidential race remains a toss-up in the Old Dominion.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. Only one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 48%, Mandel (R) 44%

Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown continues to hold a modest advantage over his Republican challenger, Josh Mandel, in Ohio's U.S. Senate race.
 
 The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Buckeye State finds Brown with 48% support to Mandel's 44%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge! Answers must be submitted by 11:59pm ET on Wednesday, October 24. 

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

New Hampshire: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

The presidential race in New Hampshire remains neck-and-neck, with Mitt Romney stretching to a two-point lead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, finds Romney earning 50% support, while President Obama has 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 48%

With just two weeks to go until Election Day, the race for Ohio’s 18 Electoral College votes is a tie.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, shows both President Obama and Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) plan to vote for some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge!  Answers must be submitted by 11:59pm ET on Wednesday, October 24. 

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Connecticut Senate: Murphy (D) 48%, McMahon (R) 47%

Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy and Republican businesswoman Linda McMahon are in a near tie following their final debate in Connecticut’s testy U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Connecticut Voters shows Murphy with 48% support to McMahon’s 47%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This race now moves back from Leans Democrat to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

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This Connecticut survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

North Dakota: Romney 54%, Obama 40%

Mitt Romney maintains a comfortable lead over President Obama in North Dakota.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters shows Romney with 54% of the vote to Obama’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republican 44%, Democrats 43%

Republicans have reclaimed the lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot, leading Democrats by one point for the week ending October 21, 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 43% would choose the Democrat instead.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from October 15-21, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 46%

Mitt Romney has now reached the 50% mark for the first time in Colorado and leads President Obama by four in the critical swing state.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Colorado Voters finds Romney with 50% support to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Colorado was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

52% Favor Repeal of Health Care Law

A majority of U.S. voters still wants to repeal of the president’s health care law, but just as many don’t expect their own insurance coverage to change as a result of the law.  

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters shows that 52% favor repeal of the law, while 42% are opposed. This includes 41% who Strongly Favor repeal and 33% who are Strongly Opposed to it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 19-20, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 46%

Former Governor Tommy Thompson and Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin are in a near tie in Wisconsin’s down-to-the-wire U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters, taken the night of the candidates’ second debate, shows Thompson with 48% support to Baldwin’s 46%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an IPad: Take the Rasmussen Challenge. 

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This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Iowa: Obama 48%, Romney 48%

President Obama and Mitt Romney are now dead even in the battleground state of Iowa. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds Obama and Romney each earning 48% support.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while two percent (2%) are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Iowa was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49% Allen (R) 48%

The U.S. Senate race in Virginia remains a toss-up.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Democrat Tim Kaine with 49% of the vote and Republican George Allen with 48%. Three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 48%, Mack (R) 43%

Following the candidates’ only face-to-face debate on Wednesday, incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson posts a five-point lead over Republican Connie Mack in Florida’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters shows Nelson with 48% support to Mack’s 43%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate, and seven percent (7%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an IPad. Take the Rasmussen Challenge.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Carolina Governor: McCrory (R) 53%, Dalton (D) 42%

Republican Pat McCrory still earns over 50% of the vote in the race to be North Carolina's next governor.  

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters finds McCrory with 53% support, while his Democratic opponent, Lieutenant Governor Walter Dalton, earns 42% of the vote.  Four percent (4%) remain undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 20, 20120

The countdown to Election Day continues. President Obama’s much-improved performance in Tuesday night’s debate seems to have stopped his downward trend in the polls but has not yet helped him regain lost ground. Republican hopes for a Senate takeover, on the other hand, are slipping away.

The daily Presidential Tracking Poll continues to show the race far too close to call, Romney has the edge in our daily Swing State survey, and the president still has a slight lead in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections. 

However, seven states with 66 Electoral Votes remain in the Toss-Up category and three states have just shifted from Toss-Up to Leans Romney.— In Florida Romney’s now up by five. In North Carolina, he’s ahead by six. And, the GOP hopeful has a double digit lead in Missouri.

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 49%, Mandel (R) 44%

Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown has moved back into the lead in his bid for reelection in Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Brown with 49% of the vote to Republican Josh Mandel’s 44%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48%

Wisconsin remains a two-point race following Tuesday night’s presidential debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama with 50% support, while Mitt Romney earns 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.  

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. 

This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.