Midterm Forecast: Democrats 48%, Republicans 44%
The Democratic Party’s lead over Republicans has narrowed to four points in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
Generic Congressional Ballot
Most Recent Releases
October 19, 2026
October 12, 2026
Midterm Forecast: Democrats 49%, Republicans 44%
The Democratic Party has expanded its lead over Republicans to five points in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
September 28, 2026
Midterm Forecast: Democrats 47%, Republicans 44%
The battle to control the House of Representatives has become more competitive, as the Democratic Party’s lead over Republicans has decreased for the second week in a row.
September 28, 2026
Democrats’ Lead Down to 5 Points in Midterm Forecast
The Democratic Party’s lead over Republicans has narrowed in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
September 21, 2026
Midterm Forecast: Democrats Expand Lead to 8 Points
The Democratic Party has widened its lead over Republicans in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
September 14, 2026
Democrats Maintain Lead in Midterm Forecast
The Democratic Party continues to hold a five-point lead over Republicans in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
September 2, 2026
Democrats Now Lead by 5 Points in Midterm Forecast
The Democratic Party has widened its lead over Republicans in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
July 7, 2026
Democrats Lead Shrinks in Midterm Forecast
The Democratic Party now leads Republicans by four points in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
May 25, 2026
Democrats Expand Lead to 6 Points in Midterm Forecast
The Democratic Party now leads Republicans by six points in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
March 26, 2026
Republicans Narrow Gap in Midterm Forecast
The Democratic Party begins 2026 with a wider lead over Republicans in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
January 19, 2026
Democrats Increase Advantage in Midterm Forecast
The Democratic Party begins 2026 with a wider lead over Republicans in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
December 3, 2025
Democrats Still Lead in 2026 Midterm Forecast
Less than a year before the next congressional elections, the Democratic Party maintains a lead over Republicans in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
July 22, 2025
Democrats Expand Lead in 2026 Congressional Forecast
The next midterm elections are still more than a year away, but the Democratic Party has widened its lead over Republicans in the battle to control the House of Representatives in November 2026.
May 22, 2025
Democrats Have Slim Lead in Early 2026 Congressional Forecast
Although the next midterm elections are still more than a year away, a slender plurality of voters now favor the Democratic Party, which hopes to recapture a House majority in November 2026.
November 5, 2024
GOP +3 on Final Generic Congressional Ballot
As Election Day arrives, Republicans have a three-point lead in their battle to maintain their narrow House majority.
October 7, 2024
GOP Still Leads on Generic Congressional Ballot
Less than a month before Election Day, Republicans have a two-point lead in their battle to maintain their narrow House majority.
August 21, 2024
GOP Lead Holds Steady on Generic Congressional Ballot
With less than three months remaining before election day, Republicans have a five-point lead in their battle to maintain their narrow House majority.
May 22, 2024
GOP Now +5 on Generic Congressional Ballot
Less than six months before Election Day, Republicans have a five-point lead in their battle to maintain their narrow House majority..
March 20, 2024
GOP Still Leads on Generic Congressional Ballot
With less than eight months to go before election day, Republicans have a six-point lead in their battle to maintain their narrow House majority.
November 4, 2022
GOP Leads by 5 Points on Final Generic Congressional Ballot
Four days ahead of Election Day, Republicans have a five-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress.
