If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.


Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Monday, May 22, 2017

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-six percent (56%) disapprove.

The latest figures for Trump include 28% who Strongly Approve of the way Trump is performing and 46% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -18. (see trends).

Regular updates are posted Monday through Friday at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily email update).

President Trump’s recent decision to fire FBI Director James Comey sparked a media firestorm, but do questions about the move reflect genuine concern or are partisan politics fueling the controversy? We’ll tell you at 10:30 EST what voters think.

Most voters believe Trump tried to shut down the probe of any connections between his associates and the Russians but are confident the FBI will thoroughly investigate the matter despite the firing of Comey. 

Fifty-one percent (51%) believe that when President Trump makes a decision, he is more concerned with what’s best for himself than he is the country or his political party. Thirty-nine percent (39%) say he is more concerned with the interests of the country when he makes decisions. For comparison, 51% believe his predecessor, Barack Obama, put the country first. 

Trump began his first foreign trip as president in Saudi Arabia, where he gave a speech about the importance of Muslim-majority countries leading the fight against terrorism globally. In early 2015, only eight percent (8%) of voters felt the Saudi government has been aggressive enough in its efforts to fight radical Islamic terrorism. Nearly half (48%) said the U.S. government ignores abuses by the Saudi Arabian government it would not tolerate in other countries because of Saudi oil.

Despite Trump’s repeated criticism of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton for their refusal to use the words “radical Islamic terrorism”, the phrase was noticeably absent from his remarks this weekend. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters continue to believe the United States is at war with radical Islamic terrorism. 

Trump is in Israel today, and 57% of U.S. Voters believe the United States should play an active role in helping to resolve the conflict between the Israelis and Palestinians. Among these voters, 48% support a so-called "two-state solution" by which a Palestinian state is established in the West Bank and Gaza alongside the State of Israel. 

See “What They Told Us” in surveys last week. 

(More below)

Boy, did the so-called “polling analyst” community with the likes of Nate Silver, Harry Enten and others blow last year’s election.

Following the polling industry’s most disastrously wrong election predictions ever last November, the annual convention of the American Association for Public Opinion Research faced the Herculean task of fixing what went wrong. Commentator Robert Barnes analyzes last year’s polling mistakes – and how Rasmussen Reports and just two other major pollsters avoided them – and asks, Can The Polling Industry Learn From Its Mistakes? 

Although Rasmussen Reports was criticized by the media and polling analysts as “an outlier” for much of the campaign season for showing the Trump-Clinton contest as a close one, we got it right  Enjoy this short video featuring some of our favorite media moments from the heated 2016 campaign and Trump's action-packed first 100 days.

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Some readers wonder how we come up with our job approval ratings for the president since they often don’t show as dramatic a change as some other pollsters do. It depends on how you ask the question and whom you ask.

To get a sense of longer-term job approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.

Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology).

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.

Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.

To learn more about our methodology, click here.