If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.


Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Obama's job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove (see trends).

The latest figures include 28% of all likely voters who Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president and 36% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -8.

Regular updates are posted Monday through Friday at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of voters say the country is heading in the right direction. Sixty-five percent (65%) disagree.

Is today’s Indiana primary the final shoot-out for the remaining Republican candidates? Our latest Trump Change survey suggests that it’s Donald Trump all the way.

We’ll tell you at 10:30 a.m. Eastern whether voters think Ted Cruz and John Kasich should drop out of the GOP race and whether Bernie Sanders should do the same on the Democratic side.

Trump has inched ahead of likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in our latest matchup of the two. But one-in-four voters are threatening to vote third party or stay home if those are their two major party choices.

Fifteen states will have new voter ID laws in place for this year’s presidential election. As they have for years, most voters continue to support voter ID laws and do not believe they discriminate against some voters. 

(More below)

Voters appear to be moving away from the idea that the U.S. Constitution should be interpreted
 as written and are now more likely to feel the nation's foundational document should change with the times.

Eighty-nine percent (89%) want to continue using the Constitution as the fundamental law of the United States. Fifty-nine percent (59%) say the Constitution should be left as is, but 32% think some minor changes are needed. 

Like the British themselves, Americans have decidedly mixed feelings about a “Brexit,” Great Britain's potential withdrawal from the European Union.

(More below)

Some readers wonder how we come up with our job approval ratings for the president since they often don’t show as dramatic a change as some other pollsters do. It depends on how you ask the question and whom you ask.

To get a sense of longer-term job approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.

Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology).

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.

Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.

To learn more about our methodology, click here.