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Generic Congressional Ballot
Democrats Lead by Five on Generic Ballot
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The Democrats have moved to a five-point lead in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that, if given the choice, 44% of voters would vote for their district’s Democratic candidate, while 39% would choose the Republican candidate.

This week, support for the Democrats jumped two points, while support for the GOP rose one point. The first poll conducted after Election Day was the GOP’s most competitive showing in a couple of years, coming in just behind the Democrats 43% to 41%.

Just after Election Day, support for the Democrats dropped slightly, most likely in reaction to the party’s big showing in the Senate and presidential races.

Over the past year, Democratic support has ranged from a low of 43% to a high of 50%. Over that same time period, Republicans have been preferred by 34% to 41% of voters nationwide.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Men are evenly divided between the two parties at 41% each. Women still favor Democrats by a 47% to 38% margin.

White voters would vote Republican by a 44% to 39% margin, while the Democrats have a dominating lead among black voters, 78% to 12%.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters not affiliated with either party would vote for their Republican candidate, while 28% would vote Democratic.

Voters who own at least $5,000 worth of investments would vote Republican, 44% to 39%, while non-investors swing Democrat, 56% to 30%.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Date

Dem

GOP

11-23-08

44%

39%

11-16-08

42%

38%

11-09-08

43%

41%

11-02-08

47%

41%

10-26-08

47%

40%

10-19-08

45%

39%

10-12-08

46%

38%

10-05-08

45%

37%

09-28-08

46%

37%

09-21-08

45%

38%

09-14-08

44%

38%

09-07-08

45%

37%

08-31-08

46%

36%

08-24-08

46%

35%

08-17-08

46%

36%

08-10-08

45%

37%

08-03-08

46%

36%

07-27-08

47%

34%

07-20-08

45%

36%

07-13-08

46%

36%

07-06-08

47%

34%

06-29-08

47%

35%

06-22-08

47%

34%

06-15-08

48%

34%

06-08-08

47%

34%

05-22-08

47%

39%

04-29-08

46%

41%

04-06-08

43%

37%

03-13-08

44%

40%

02-14-08

44%

40%

01-15-08

43%

38%

12-09-07

46%

36%

11-04-07

46%

35%

10-04-07

48%

36%

09-04-07

50%

32%

08-01-07

47%

37%

07-17-07

46%

37%

06-21-07

46%

34%

05-31-07

45%

38%

05-03-07

47%

36%

04-10-07

45%

35%

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