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Generic Congressional Ballot
Generic Ballot Shows No Change This Week
Tuesday, November 03, 2009
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Republican congressional candidates hold on to a four-point lead over Democrats this week in the latest Generic Congressional Ballot. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 42% would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate while 38% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. Voters not affiliated with either party continue to heavily favor Republicans, 39% to 23%. (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter. Since late June, support for Republican candidates has ranged from 41% to 44%, while support for Democrats has run from 36% to 40%. Looking back one year ago, the two parties were in a much different place. Throughout the fall of 2008, support for Democratic congressional candidates ranged from 42% to 47%. Republican support ranged from 37% to 41%. But in October, for the third straight month, the number of Americans identifying themselves as Democrats inched up while the number of Republicans fell slightly. While other polling firms appear to show different results on the generic ballot, Real Clear Politics explains the differences in survey samples and question ordering, stating “if you are asking which pollsters have it right, I'd probably put my money on Gallup-Rasmussen.” In today’s down-to-the-wire race for New Jersey’s next Governor, Republican Chris Christie continues to hold a three-point advantage over incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine . In Virginia, Republican Robert F. McDonnell now enjoys a 13-point lead over Democrat R. Creigh Deeds. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi introduced the House version of health care reform legislation last week, but most voters (54%) are still opposed to the effort. Voter confidence in America’s conduct of the War on Terror has fallen to its lowest level since the first week of January in 2007. Voters are also much less optimistic about the course of the war in Iraq. Additionally, voters continue to have a pessimistic view about America's future relationship with the Muslim world. When it comes to the economy, voters for the first time are blaming President Obama nearly as much as President Bush for the country’s continuing economic problems. The latest Rasmussen Employment Index release shows that U.S. worker confidence remained relatively stable in October. If the presidential election were held today, 45% of adults say they would be at least somewhat likely to vote for Obama if he was up for reelection right now. Forty-nine percent (49%) say they would be unlikely to vote for the president’s reelection. Just 14% of U.S. voters say Hillary Clinton would be doing a worse job as president than Barack Obama if she had won last year’s Democratic presidential nomination. Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
TOP STORIES42% Support Health Care Reform After Release of Pelosi's Version 49% See GOP Takeover of Congress Next Year As Possible What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Americans Favor Home Buyer Tax Credit Until They Hear How Much It Costs 30% Favor One Party Running the White House and Congress Voters Divided On Whether Passing Good Legislation More Important Than Killing Bad Bills 45% for Obama, 49% Against – If Election Were Held Right Now President Obama: One Year After Winning it All There Is No Honor; There's Only Killing By Debra J. Saunders Advertisement
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