Toplines - 2010 Kentucky Senate Race - March 31, 2010

Kentucky Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Conducted March 31, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

24% Strongly approve
14% Somewhat approve
9% Somewhat disapprove
53% Strongly disapprove
1% Not sure

2* How would you rate the job Steve Beshear has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

12% Strongly approve
34% Somewhat approve
33% Somewhat disapprove
17% Strongly disapprove
2% Not sure

3* 2010 Kentucky Senate Race

	January 6, 2010	February 2, 2010	March 2, 2010	March 31, 2010
Trey Grayson (R)	44%	49%	46%	53%
Daniel Mongiardo (D)	37%	35%	33%	33%
Some other candidate	8%	5%	5%	5%
Not sure	11%	11%	16%	9%

	January 6, 2010	February 2, 2010	March 2, 2010	March 31, 2010
Rand Paul (R)	49%	48%	51%	52%
Daniel Mongiardo (D)	35%	37%	34%	37%
Some other candidate	3%	3%	3%	3%
Not sure	13%	12%	12%	8%

	January 6, 2010	February 2, 2010	March 2, 2010	March 31, 2010
Trey Grayson (R)	45%	44%	49%	52%
Jack Conway (D)	35%	40%	31%	32%
Some other candidate	7%	3%	6%	5%
Not sure	12%	12%	14%	11%

	January 6, 2010	February 2, 2010	March 2, 2010	March 31, 2010
Rand Paul (R)	46%	47%	49%	50%
Jack Conway (D)	38%	39%	34%	36%
Some other candidate	4%	3%	4%	3%
Not sure	12%	11%	13%	11%

4* I’m going to read you a short list of people in the News. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Candidate for the KY Senate Race	Very Favorable	Somewhat Favorable	Somewhat Unfavorable	Very Unfavorable	Not sure
Grayson	14%	41%	20%	8%	18%
Mongiardo	16%	26%	23%	23%	12%
Paul	21%	32%	21%	12%	14%
Conway	18%	26%	20%	19%	17%

5* Will the health care plan passed by Congress and signed into law by President Obama be good for the country or bad for the country?

30% Good
62% Bad
2% No impact
7% Not sure

6* A proposal has been made to repeal the health care bill and stop it from going into effect. Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose a proposal to repeal the health care bill?

53% Strongly favor
12% Somewhat favor
6% Somewhat oppose
25% Strongly oppose
4% Not sure

7* The health care plan passed by Congress would require every American to buy or obtain health insurance. Do you Strongly Favor, Somewhat Favor, Somewhat Oppose, or Strongly Oppose a federal law that requires every American to buy or obtain health insurance?

20% Strongly favor
13% Somewhat favor
12% Somewhat oppose
51% Strongly oppose
4% Not sure

8*Some people believe a federal law requiring every American to buy or obtain health insurance is unconstitutional. Some states have announced that they will sue the federal government to fight that requirement. Would you favor or oppose having your state sue the federal government to prevent it from becoming law?

58% Favor
32% Oppose
10% Not sure

9* Regardless of how Congress is doing overall, does your local representative in Congress deserve to be reelected?

36% Yes
42% No
23% Not sure

10* Generally speaking, would it better for the country if most incumbents in Congress were reelected this November or if most of them were defeated?

17% Better if most incumbents were reelected
69% Better if most incumbents were defeated
14% Not sure

11* When you think about the major issues facing the country, whose views are closest to your own – those of the average Tea Party member or those of the average member of Congress?

57% Those of the average Tea Party member
23% Those of the average member of Congress
20% Not sure

12*Who has a better understanding of the problems America faces today – the average Tea Party member or the average member of Congress?

59% Average Tea Party member
25% Average member of Congress
16% Not sure

13* How concerned are you that those opposed to President Obama’s policies will resort to violence?

27% Very concerned
25% Somewhat concerned
29% Not very concerned
17% Not at all concerned
3% Not sure

14* A year from today, will the U.S. economy be stronger than it is now, or weaker?

33% Stronger
47% Weaker
15% About the same
5% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence