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Florida Senate: Nelson by 17
Nelson (D) 54%; Harris (R) 37%
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Though his lead has slipped a few points over the past month, incumbent Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson still enjoys a comfortable lead over Republican challenger Katherine Harris. Nelson now leads Harris 54% to 37% (see crosstabs). His lead was 23 in the previous poll.

While Harris is in trouble, the state’s Governor’s race is leaning solidly in the Republican direction.

Harris emerged successfully from a four-way primary on September 5 with 49.4% of the vote to take her party’s nomination.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters view Nelson favorably—25% view him very favorably. Harris’ numbers are weighted at the other end of the spectrum: 53% have an unfavorable view of her including 39% in the “very unfavorable” category.

Nelson maintains another distinct advantage over Harris: fundraising. The most recent financial disclosure statements show Nelson’s campaign sitting on approximately $12 million as the campaign enters crunch time. Harris’ campaign has just $2.2 million on hand.

When asked to identify the issues of greatest importance to them, Florida’s voters say national security (25%), the economy (23%) and the war in Iraq (20%.)

Regarding the war in Iraq, Florida voters are evenly divided as to whether the war is part of the overall war on terror or a distraction from it.

Voters place their trust with Republicans when it comes to matters concerning national security (49%), immigration (42%) and taxes (45%.) Democrats are trusted more than Republicans when it comes to Iraq (49%) and the economy (47%.)

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
October 2, 2006

Election 2006: Florida Senate

Bill Nelson (D)

54%

Katherine Harris (R)

37%

Election 2006: Florida Senate
Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys

Nelson

Harris

Aug-Sep-Oct

56%

35%

Jul-Aug-Sep

58%

33%

May-Jul-Aug

59%

33%

Apr-May-Jul

59%

31%

Mar-Apr-May

57%

31%

Feb-Mar-Apr

54%

34%

Jan-Feb-Mar

53%

35%

Election 2006: Florida Senate

Date

Nelson

Harris

Oct 2

54%

37%

Sep 19

56%

33%

Aug 28

57%

34%

July 25

61%

33%

May 15

60%

33%

Apr 10

57%

27%

Mar 6

55%

34%

Feb 6

49%

40%

Jan 3

54%

31%

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