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Arizona
Incumbents Cruising
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It's good to be an incumbent in Arizona this year.

Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano continues to enjoy an enviable lead over two potential Republican opponents. Meanwhile, in his own battle for reelection, Arizona Senator Jon Kyl (R) also remains the heavy favorite.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Napolitano leading Don Goldwater, nephew of famed conservative Barry Goldwater, 53% to 32%. The governor leads former state appeals court judge Jan Florez 58% to 22%, and leads attorney Len Munsil 55% to 28%.

These numbers are little changed from last month's poll on the Governor's race. In fact, the only real change is that former State Senate President John Greene has dropped out of the race.

The governor is viewed favorably by 63% of voters. Thirty-one percent (31%) view her "very" favorably. No Republican candidate does better than a 38% favorable rating...and the "very favorable" rating for each GOP hopeful are in single digits.

In the Senate race, Senator Kyl leads real estate developer Jim Pederson (D) 51% to 35%. Last month, Kyl led 56% to 33%. Despite the drop in his lead in the new survey, our three-poll rolling average continues to show Kyl leading 53% to 34%.

As residents of a border state, many Arizonans are especially interested in the immigration debate, and 93% follow news of it very closely (59%) or somewhat closely (34%).

Fifty-four percent (54%) say all immigrants should be welcome except security threats, criminals, and those intending to live off welfare; 33% disagree.

Two thirds of Arizona voters (67%) agree that the securing the borders and enforcing existing immigration policy should be the priority before further reforms are entertained. Pederson is more competitive with Senator Kyl among the 27% who disagree with that proposition; Napolitano leads even more lopsidedly among those who disagree.

As in most states, Arizona Republicans are a bit more likely than Democrats to say that the border should be controlled before other reforms are considered. At the same time, Republicans are also more likely to say that all immigrants should be welcome except national security threats, criminals, and those who would live off the U.S. welfare system.

Almost half of all Arizona voters (49%) disagree that all illegal aliens now here should be forcibly ushered from the country; 35% say Yes, they should.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 25, 2006

Election 2006:
Arizona Governor

Janet Napolitano (D)

53%

Don Goldwater (R)

32%

Election 2006:
Arizona Governor

Janet Napolitano (D)

58%

Jan Florez (R)

22%

Election 2006:
Arizona Governor

Janet Napolitano (D)

55%

Len Munsil (R)

28%

Election 2006:
Arizona Senate

Jon Kyl (R)

51%

Jim Pederson (D)

35%

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