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Virginia: Bush 49% Kerry 46%
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In Virginia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. In Election 2000, Bush won Virginia by nine percentage points, beating Al Gore 53% to 44%.

This state has consistently remained much closer than the Bush campaign would like. While it's been decades since a Democrat has won the state, all indications are that it is competitive in the summer of 2004.

Last month, our Virginia poll found Bush leading 48% to 45%. The month before, it was Bush 47% Kerry 45%.

As a result, Virginia remains in the "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections (we require a five point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

In Virginia, Bush leads 51% to 44% among men but trails 48% to 46% among women.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of all Virginia voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's down a point from a month ago and slightly above his national Job Approval rating.

Data for Virginia will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

In August, we have released state election polls for Washington, Maine, Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Oregon, New Jersey, Arkansas, New Mexico, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota.

Last month, we also issued state election polls for Alabama, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, and South Carolina.. These states will be updated in the next few days. Polling data from additional states will also be released.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters

July 1-31, 2004

Virginia 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

49%

Kerry

46%

Other

2%

Not Sure

3%

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