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Pennsylvania: Kerry 48% Bush 43%
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In Pennsylvania, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 48% of the vote and President Bush with 43%. Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.

These results represent an improvement for the Senator compared to the prior month. In that earlier survey, Bush was up by a single point, 45% to 44%. As a result, Pennsylvania moves from the "Toss-up" category to "Leans Kerry" for our Electoral College projections.

Among Pennsylvania Investors, Bush leads 48% to 45%. However, among non-Investors, Kerry has a thirteen-point edge, 51% to 38%.

In Pennsylvania, 47% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's down five points from 52% a month ago and below his national Job Approval rating.

Data for Pennsylvania will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

Our recent state releases included Alabama, Arkansas, California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, and Washington.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters

June 1-30, 2004

Pennsylvania 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

43%

Kerry

48%

Other

5%

Not Sure

4%

RasmussenReports.com

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