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Pennsylvania: Bush 45% Kerry 44%
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In Pennsylvania, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 45% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 44%. That's little changed from our March survey which found Kerry ahead by a single point.

Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.

While Bush is running ahead of his Election 2000 pace in Pennsylvania, he is running a bit weaker than four years ago in both Virginia and North Carolina.

Pennsylvania, Virginia and North Carolina are unusual this year. In most other states, Rasmussen Reports poll results for 2004 do reflect the actual outcome from four years ago. Nationally, our daily Tracking Poll also shows that Election 2004 is in about the same place that Election 2000 ended--a dead heat.

Fifty-two percent (52%) of Pennsylvania voters Approve of the way Bush is performing his job as President. That's down a couple of points from 54% in our March survey. However, it is slightly above the President's national Job Approval rating for the same time period.

Data for Pennsylvania will updated again early next month. Rasmussen Reports has also recently released polling data for the states of North Carolina, Virginia, Oregon, Missouri, Georgia, Illinois, New York, Texas, California and Ohio. Other state polling data will be released each day this week.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters May 1-31, 2004

Pennsylvania 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

45%

Kerry

44%

Other

5%

Not Sure

6%

RasmussenReports.com

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