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Oregon: Kerry 47% Bush 41%
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In Oregon, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 47% of the vote and President Bush with 41%. Four years ago, Bush lost Oregon's 7 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by less than one percent of all votes cast.

One month ago, Kerry held an eight-point lead, 50% to 42%. At that time, we moved Oregon from the "Toss-Up" category to "Leans Kerry." Two months ago, Bush was up by a single point, 46% to 45%.

Not surprisingly, people who Strongly Approve of the President will vote for him by a 98% to 2% margin. At the same time 92% of those who Strongly Disapprove will vote for Kerry and none will vote to re-elect Bush.

For the in-between ratings, 67% of those who Somewhat Approve of the President's job performance will vote for him. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of those who Somewhat Disapprove will vote for Kerry.

In Oregon, 46% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up a point from a month ago but down three points from the month before (and it's below his national Job Approval rating).

Data for Oregon will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

In August, we have released state election polls for Washington, Maine, Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Oregon, New Jersey, Arkansas, New Mexico, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota.

Last month, we also issued state election polls for Alabama, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, and South Carolina.. These states will be updated in the next few days. Polling data from additional states will also be released.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters

July 1-31, 2004

Oregon 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

41%

Kerry

47%

Other

5%

Not Sure

8%

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