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Oregon: Bush 46% Kerry 45%
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In Oregon, the race for the White House is too close to call. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 46% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 45%.

Four years ago, Bush and Gore each earned 47% of the Oregon vote. Gore won the state's Electoral Votes by less than 7,000 votes (about half of one percent). The last Rasmussen Reports survey, conducted in April, also found a toss-up with Kerry at 46% and Bush at 45%.

These results follow a fairly strong pattern in this year's state polling. With few exceptions, most of our state polls this year reflect results similar to those from four years ago. Largely, this is due to the fact that our daily Tracking Poll shows the national race to be about the same as it ended up four years ago--a dead heat.. The national poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Oregon voters Approve of the way Bush is performing his job as President. In our April survey, the comparable figure was 50%.

In April, we found that adding Ralph Nader to the mix had little net impact on the campaign. Nader was not included in the more recent survey (for an explanation of why we don't include Nader, see this feature).

Data for Oregon will updated again early next month. Rasmussen Reports has also recently released polling data for the states of Missouri, Georgia, Illinois, New York, Texas, California and Ohio. Other state polling data will be released each day this week.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters May 1-31, 2004

Oregon 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

46%

Kerry

45%

Other

6%

Not Sure

3%

RasmussenReports.com

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