North Carolina: Bush 50% Kerry 45%

Tuesday, August 03, 2004

North Carolina may be home to the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee, but its Electoral Votes currently belong to the Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with a five point lead over Senator John F. Kerry, 50% to 45%. That's down slightly from a seven-point lead a month ago. The prior survey was completed in June, before Kerry named Edwards as his running mate.

Four years ago, Bush won North Carolina by a very comfortable 13-point margin, 56% to 43%. Two months ago, our poll found that Bush led Kerry by a mere four points.

In North Carolina, Bush does better among men, Investors, and white voters. Kerry does better among women, non-Investors, and African-American voters.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of North Carolina voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up from a month ago... and several points above his national Job Approval rating.

Data for North Carolina will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from July 1-31, 2004. Each night, 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. National results for the survey during that time frame show that President Bush and Senator Kerry each attracted 45% of the vote. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters

July 1-31, 2004

North Carolina 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush	50%
Kerry	45%
Other	2%
Not Sure	4%
RasmussenReports.com

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