North Carolina: Bush 48% Kerry 44%

Thursday, June 03, 2004

In North Carolina, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 44%.

Four years ago, Bush defeated Al Gore handily in North Carolina, 56% to 43%. However, he has failed so far to develop such a lead against John Kerry. A Rasmussen Reports survey, conducted in March found Bush up by eight points, 51% to 43%.

North Carolina is unusual this year in that poll results for 2004 do not reflect results similar to those from four years ago. Most other state polls, and our daily Tracking Poll, show that Election 2004 is beginning in about the same place that Election 2000 ended.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of North Carolina voters Approve of the way Bush is performing his job as President. That's down a couple of points from 57% in our March survey. However, it is several points above the President's national Job Approval rating.

Data for North Carolina will updated again early next month. Rasmussen Reports has also recently released polling data for the states of Oregon, Missouri, Georgia, Illinois, New York, Texas, California and Ohio. Other state polling data will be released each day this week.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from May 1-31, 2004. Each night (except Mothers’ Day), 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. National results for the survey during that time frame show that President Bush and Senator Kerry each attracted 45% of the vote. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters May 1-31, 2004

North Carolina 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush	48%
Kerry	44%
Other	3%
Not Sure	5%
RasmussenReports.com

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