New York: Kerry 58% Bush 30%

Monday, July 12, 2004

In New York, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 58% of the vote and President Bush with 30%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry New York by a 25 point margin.

Last month, it was Kerry 57% Bush 34% in our New York poll.

The New York survey shows the President getting just 61% of Republican votes in the state. Senator Kerry leads 56% to 29% among unaffiliated voters.

In New York, 37% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's down four points from a month ago and well below his national Job Approval rating.

Data for New York will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

Our recent state releases included Alabama, Arkansas, California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, and Washington.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from June 1-30, 2004. Each night, 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. National results for the survey during that time frame show that President Bush and Senator Kerry each attracted 45% of the vote. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters

June 1-30, 2004

New York 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush	30%
Kerry	58%
Other	6%
Not Sure	5%
RasmussenReports.com

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