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Minnesota: Kerry 47% Bush 47%
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In Minnesota, the race for the White House remains a tie. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows both Senator Kerry and President Bush earning 47% of the vote in this Battleground State.

Our previous two releases, issued September 26 and September 5, both found the race tied at 46%. Four years ago, Al Gore won Minnesota with a narrow two-point margin of victory over George W. Bush.

As a result, Minnesota remains in the "Toss-Up" column for our Electoral College projections. Prior to the Republican Convention, the state had been leaning in Senator Kerry's direction. For much of the past two weeks, our daily Tracking Poll for Minnesota also found the Democrat with modest leads over the past few weeks, but never by enough to move the state out of Toss-Up status.

Additionally, when leaners are included, Bush leads 49%-48% in Minnesota. In our September 26 survey, Bush held a 50% to 48% lead when leaner were included. Our September 5 release found that Kerry had a modest lead with leaners.

Leaners are those who initially do not express a preference for Bush or Kerry. We ask them a follow-up question to determine which way they are leaning at the moment.

Rasmussen Reports Premium Members receive daily Tracking Poll updates for Minnesota, Florida, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. They also receive weekly updates for 15 other states.

Fifty percent (50%) of Minnesota voters have a favorable opinion of the President. That's down from 53% in our prior release.

Fifty-two percent (52%) have a favorable opinion of Senator Kerry. That's up from from 50.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 772 Likely Voters
Oct 11-17, 2004

Minnesota 2004 Presidential Ballot

Bush

47%

Kerry

47%

Other

3%

Not Sure

4%

RasmussenReports.com

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