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Maine: Kerry 48% Bush 44%
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The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of Maine voters finds Senator Kerry with 48% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maine by a 49% to 44% margin.

One month ago, our survey found Kerry clinging to a one-point lead in this state. At that point, we considered Maine's Electoral Votes in the Toss-Up category. Then, a mid-month update provided to Premium Members showed Kerry opening up a modest lead. At that time, we moved the state to the "Leans Kerry" column.

Now, we are moving Maine back to "Toss-Up" status. This early in the campaign, we consider any state where the candidates are within five points of each other to be a Toss-Up.

Kerry has secured the vote from just 70% of Maine liberals. Bush is supported by 71% of the state's conservatives. Among moderates, Kerry leads 54% to 36%.

In Maine, 48% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's down from a month ago and slightly below his national Job Approval rating.

Among voters who are not affiliated with either major political party, 49% give the President's performance their Approval.

Data for Maine will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

In August, we have released state election polls for Washington, Maine, Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Oregon, New Jersey, Arkansas, New Mexico, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota.

Last month, we also issued state election polls for Alabama, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, and South Carolina.. These states will be updated in the next few days. Polling data from additional states will also be released.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters
July 1-31, 2004

Maine 2004 Presidential Ballot

Bush

44%

Kerry

48%

Other

5%

Not Sure

4%

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