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Election 2004 Bush-Kerry Tracking Poll
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NOTE: The 2008 daily Presidential Tracking Poll is available here. Visit the Rasmussen Reports home page for the most current updates on Election 2008 and other events in the news.

President George W. Bush won the popular vote on November 2 by a 50.7% to 48.2% margin over Senator John Kerry. The final Rasmussen Reports projection had shown the President winning 50.2% to 48.5%.

Our final polling state-by-state polling results were also validated by actual election returns. We correctly showed Florida and Ohio breaking for the President while Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota were heading for the Kerry column.

The Wall Street Journal named Rasmussen Reports one of the "big winners" of Election 2004. Later this month, we will release a special report on Election 2004 and what it means for the country over the next four years.

Our week-by-week tracking poll summary shows just how stable the electorate has remained throughout Election 2004. The President held a modest lead over the final two months of the campaign.

Our monthly polling summary provides another way to see just how close this election remained throughout Election 2004.

The final Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projection showed Bush with 222 Electoral Votes and Kerry with 186. For the second straight Presidential Election, every state that we projected for a candidate was won by that candidate. Additionally, each of the Toss-Up states was won by the person leading in our final poll.

Voters who picked their candidate early in the process leaned towards Kerry but late deciders are more likely to support Bush. Despite the closeness of the race and memories of Election 2000, most voters believe we will know the winner at some point on Election night next week.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Updated Daily by Noon Eastern

Election 2004

Final Projection

Bush

50.2%

Kerry

48.5%

Other

1.3%

RasmussenReports.com

Updated Daily by Noon Eastern

Election 2004

Date

Bush

Kerry

FINAL

50.2

48.5

Earlier Results for

RR Premium Members

Dates are release dates

Surveys conducted on preceding three nights

RasmussenReports.com

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