Rasmussen Reports

« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «

« Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today. »

-Larry Sabato, University of Virginia

« Rasmussen, an organization with fast zeitgeist reflexes.... «

-The Politico

« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «

« The best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com «

-Michael Barone, The Washington Examiner`

« If you really want to know what people in America think, you can't find a better place to look than Rasmussen Reports «

-Susan Estrich

« If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious N.Y.Times, go with Rasmussen! »

-Mickey Kaus, Slate Magazine
Premium MembershipLoginSignup
Search
Sign up for free daily updates
Advertisement
Advertisement

California: Kerry 51% Bush 40%
Email a Friend Email to a Friend
Advertisement

In the state of California, a Rasmussen Reports survey finds that Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry leads President George W. Bush by eleven points, 51% to 40%. That spread matches the 11 point margin of victory earned by Al Gore four years ago.

A month ago, Rasmussen Reports polling found Kerry leading in California by nine points.

This finding is consistent with other state polling data from around the nation showing that in many ways Election 2004 is beginning where Election 2000 ended--in a dead heat. On a national basis, the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Election Tracking Poll has found Bush and Kerry virtually even for weeks. Not only that, the candidates are just one point apart in Florida.

California has been a safe state for Democratic Presidential contenders in recent years. Some analysts speculate that the Recall effort and election of a Republican Governor last year may make the state competitive for the President in 2004. That does not appear to be the case.

Just 44% of California voters approve of the way Bush has performed his role as President. Another 55% disapprove. This is significantly lower than the President's national Job Approval rating.

A month ago, the President's Job Approval in California was six points higher at 50%.

In January, a Rasmussen Reports survey found the President trailing a generic Democrat by five points. At that time, 51% approved of the President's performance and 47% disapproved.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 502 Likely Voters April 17-24, 2004

 

California 2004 Presidential Ballot

Bush

40%

Kerry

51%

Other

5%

Not Sure

4%

RasmussenReports.com

TOP STORIES

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Voters’ Opinions of Congressional Leaders Remain Steady

Democrats & Unaffiliateds More Likely To Be Unemployed Than Republicans

To Create Jobs, Voters Say Cut Taxes and Stop Spending

Brown Ensnared in His Own Tapegate Trap By Debra J. Saunders

Support for Congressional Health Care Proposal Up to 47%, 49% Opposed

Republicans Maintain Steady Lead on Generic Ballot

42% Rate Geithner’s Performance As Poor

47% Trust Private Sector More Than Government To Keep Health Care Costs Down, Quality Up

Voters Continue to See Deficit Reduction as Top Priority

Advertisement