California: Kerry 49% Bush 41%

Wednesday, June 02, 2004

In California, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with an 8-point lead over President George W. Bush, 49% to 41%. In Election 2000, Bush lost California to Al Gore by 11 points.

The new survey data represents a slight improvement for the President since our April survey. That earlier survey showed Kerry ahead of Bush, 51% to 40%. In March, Senator Kerry held a 9-point lead over the President.

In California, Kerry leads among both men and women. California women prefer Kerry by a 52% to 38% margin. Among men, it's essentially a toss-up--46% for Kerry and 44% for Bush.

Just 2% of Liberal voters in California currently plan to vote for someone other than Bush or Kerry.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of California voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's three points better than a month ago, but three points below his ratings in March.

Data for California will updated again early next month. Rasmussen Reports has also recently released polling data for the state of Ohio. Other state polling data will be released each day this week.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from May 1-31, 2004. Each night (except Mothers’ Day), 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. National results for the survey during that time frame show that President Bush and Senator Kerry each attracted 45% of the vote. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

California 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush	41%
Kerry	49%
Other	5%
Not Sure	5%
RasmussenReports.com

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