If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

Rasmussen Reports Calls It Right

Monday, December 05, 2016

Rasmussen Reports told you all along that it was a much closer race than most other pollsters predicted. We weren’t surprised Election Night. They were. Now Real Clear Politics has posted the final results, and look who came in second out of 11 top pollsters who surveyed the four-way race.

 
Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein: Closest to Electoral College Results (Winner - Trump)
 ------Poll------ Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Johnson (L) Stein (G) Spread
Updated Final Results - RCP/WAPO 48.2 46.2 3.3 1.1 Clinton +2
1. IBD/TIPP Tracking 11/4 - 11/7 1026 LV 3.1 43 45 8 2 Trump +2
2. Rasmussen Reports 11/2 - 11/6 1500 LV 2.5 45 43 4 2 Clinton +2
3. Bloomberg (2-Way Tie) 11/4 - 11/6 799 LV 3.5 44 41 4 2 Clinton +3
3. Reuters/Ipsos (2-Way Tie) 11/2 - 11/6 2196 LV 2.3 42 39 6 3 Clinton +3
4. Economist/YouGov (6-Way Tie) 11/4 - 11/7 3677 LV -- 45 41 5 2 Clinton +4
4. ABC/WaPo (6-Way Tie) 11/3 - 11/6 2220 LV 2.5 47 43 4 1 Clinton +4
4. Fox News (6-Way Tie) 11/3 - 11/6 1295 LV 2.5 48 44 3 2 Clinton +4
4. Gravis (6-Way Tie) 11/3 - 11/6 16639 RV 1 47 43 3 2 Clinton +4
4. NBC News/WSJ (6-Way Tie) 11/3 - 11/5 1282 LV 2.7 44 40 6 2 Clinton +4
4. CBS News (6-Way Tie) 11/2 - 11/6 1426 LV 3 45 41 5 2 Clinton +4
5. Monmouth 11/3 - 11/6 748 LV 3.6 50 44 4 1 Clinton +6
               

1)  Our final poll was the closest among all pollsters who correctly picked Hillary Clinton to win the popular vote. We had Clinton up by 1.7%. In reality, she won the popular vote by 2.0%

2)  The media created a false narrative about the 2016 presidential campaign, and most polling reinforced it. Our polling showed that issues, not the media-fed controversies, would ultimately decide the election

3)  We even told our readers on Election Day why pollsters disagree.

4) Our final survey of Utah with media partner Heat Street was the first to show that Evan McMullin’s independent bid for the presidency was no longer a threat to Donald Trump. Our final surveys in Nevada with partner KTNV-TV 13 Action News – two weeks before Election Day - correctly projected the ultimate wins by Clinton and Democratic Senate hopeful Catherine Cortez Masto.

5) Pulse Opinion Research which conducts the field work and provides the methodology for all Rasmussen Reports surveys did a number of state tracking surveys during the presidential election season for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers and the Entertainment Software Association. Here’s the Auto Alliance’s analysis of those survey results.

Pulse customers craft their own questions, and the Pulse staff does the rest.

With another election successfully behind us, Rasmussen Reports is open for business to any and all who would like to know what America really thinks.

 





Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

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