Thursday, July 19, 2012
Polls over the past month have consistently shown a very close general election race between President Obama and Mitt Romney. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll has shown Obama’s support between 44% and 46% every day for weeks. During that same time frame, Romney’s support has stayed between 44% and 47%.
While some of those voters could ultimately change their minds, the winner could very well be determined by the eight percent (8%) to 10% of voters who routinely refuse to commit to either of the major party candidates. About half of them prefer a third-party option, and the other half are simply undecided.
The survey of 653 Uncommitted Likely Voters was conducted July 2-15, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.Rasmussen subscribers can log in to read the rest of this article.
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We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.
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