Tuesday, November 08, 2011
In reliably Democratic California, the president’s Job Approval rating has fallen below 50%, and he holds only a modest lead over a Generic Republican candidate.
Data from the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows that just 49% of Likely Voters in California approve of the way President Obama is doing his job, while 48% disapprove. Those figures include 20% who Strongly Approve and 37% who Strongly Disapprove, giving the president an Approval Index rating of -17. While weak for a Democrat in California, those numbers are still better than the president earns nationally.
Seventy-eight percent (78%) of California Democrats approve of the president's job performance, while 82% of California Republicans disapprove. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 47% approve, and 47% disapprove. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
When matched against a Generic Republican, the president earns support from 45% of California voters, while the Republican attracts 41%. However, it should be noted that the president typically performs better in polls against specific named Republicans as opposed to running against a generic opponent. Nationally, the president has consistently trailed a Generic Republican in weekly matchup surveys for nearly four months. But he's been running neck-and-neck with former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney for weeks now and generally leads all other GOP hopefuls.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in California was derived from nightly presidential tracking poll surveys conducted October 28-November 6, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.Rasmussen subscribers can log in to read the rest of this article.
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