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New Hampshire Governor: Lynch (D) Earns Highest Support Yet Against Stephen (R)

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

The bounce is over. Challenger John Stephen, following his Republican Primary win, bounced into a near tie with incumbent Democrat John Lynch last month in New Hampshire's gubernatorial contest, but now Lynch is 10 points ahead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Lynch picking up 53% of the vote, his best showing to date, while Stephen, a former state Health and Human Services commissioner, captures 43% support. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

The latest numbers move this race from a Toss-Up back to Solid Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard

Prior to last month's findings, Lynch held double-digit leads in four surveys conducted since March, earning 47% to 50% support. Stephen picked up 35% to 39% of the vote in those same surveys.

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This statewide telephone survey of 750 Likely Voters in New Hampshire was conducted on October 10, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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