Toplines - New Hampshire Presidential Election - May 21, 2008

New Hampshire

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

May 21, 2008

1* How do you rate the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

9% Excellent

18% Good

16% Fair

56% Poor

2% Not sure

2* 2008 Presidential General Election Match-Ups

McCain	41%	McCain	43%
Clinton	51%	Obama	48%
Other	6%	Other	6%
Not sure	3%	Not sure	3%

3* Favorable Ratings

	Clinton	Obama	McCain
Very Favorable	27%	30%	16%
Somewhat Favorable	27%	26%	39%
Somewhat Unfavorable	21%	16%	24%
Very Unfavorable	24%	26%	20%
Not sure	1%	1%	2%

4. When thinking about how you will vote in the presidential election, which of the following issues is most important—the economy, the War in Iraq, immigration, national security, health care, Social Security, or government ethics and corruption?

45% Economy

18% War in Iraq

7% Immigration

10% National security

8% Health care

3% Social Security

5% Government ethics and corruption

2% Some other issue

1% Not sure

6* We’re just about finished… John McCain recently gave a speech saying that-- if he is elected President—the United States will win the War in Iraq during his first term in office. McCain also said that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office. If you had to choose just one of those goals as the higher priority, would you rather see the United States win the War in Iraq or get the troops home from Iraq within four years?

32% Win the war

62% Get the troops home

6% Not sure

7* If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

21% Very likely

25% Somewhat likely

24% Not very likely

22% Not at all likely

9% Not sure

8* Okay… if Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

6% Very likely

16% Somewhat likely

31% Not very likely

38% Not at all likely

9% Not sure

9* Fine… If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

10% Very likely

25% Somewhat likely

31% Not very likely

28% Not at all likely

6% Not sure

10* Great… If Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

28% Very likely

31% Somewhat likely

19% Not very likely

15% Not at all likely

6% Not sure

11* Should Hillary Clinton drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination?

40% Yes

48% No

11% Not sure

12* Should Barack Obama drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination?

20% Yes

70% No

10% Not sure

13* Which candidate would do better against John McCain in the general election…Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton?

41% Obama
42% Clinton
17% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence