Toplines - California Presidential Election - May 19-20, 2008

California

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

May 19-20, 2008

1* How do you rate the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

9% Excellent

13% Good

18% Fair

59% Poor

1% Not sure

2* How do you rate the way that Arnold Schwarzenegger is performing his role as Governor? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

6% Excellent

29% Good

36% Fair

28% Poor

1% Not sure

3* 2008 Presidential General Election Match-Ups

McCain	35%	McCain	38%
Clinton	54%	Obama	52%
Other	7%	Other	7%
Not sure	3%	Not sure	2%

4* Favorable Ratings

	Clinton	Obama	McCain
Very Favorable	26%	35%	16%
Somewhat Favorable	32%	22%	30%
Somewhat Unfavorable	17%	16%	33%
Very Unfavorable	24%	26%	19%
Not sure	2%	1%	3%

5* When thinking about how you will vote in the presidential election, which of the following issues is most important—the economy, the War in Iraq, immigration, national security, health care, Social Security, or government ethics and corruption?

42% The economy

18% The War in Iraq

14% Immigration

8% National security

5% Health care

4% Social Security

6% Government ethics and corruption

2% Some other issue

1% Not sure

6* We’re just about finished… John McCain recently gave a speech saying that-- if he is elected President—the United States will win the War in Iraq during his first term in office. McCain also said that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office. If you had to choose just one of those goals as the higher priority, would you rather see the United States win the War in Iraq or get the troops home from Iraq within four years?

29% Win the war

63% Get the troops home

8% Not sure

7* If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

18% Very likely

20% Somewhat likely

28% Not very likely

26% Not at all likely

8% Not sure

8* Okay… if Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

9% Very likely

16% Somewhat likely

26% Not very likely

40% Not at all likely

8% Not sure

9* Fine… If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

10% Very likely

24% Somewhat likely

29% Not very likely

31% Not at all likely

6% Not sure

10* Great… If Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

35% Very likely

29% Somewhat likely

18% Not very likely

14% Not at all likely

5% Not sure

11* Should Hillary Clinton drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination?

34% Yes

50% No

15% Not sure

12* Should Barack Obama drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination?

24% Yes

67% No

9% Not sure

13* Which candidate would do better against John McCain in the general election…Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton?

45% Obama

43% Clinton

12% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence