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58% Think Repeal of Health Care Law Likely

Monday, October 17, 2011

Most voters still favor repeal of the national health care law, but support for repeal is at its lowest level since May. Most also continue to expect the law to drive up health care costs and the federal deficit.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows that 51% at least somewhat favor repeal of the health care law, including 41% who Strongly Favor it. Thirty-nine percent (39%) at least somewhat oppose repeal, with 28% who are Strongly Opposed. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Support for repeal is down from 56% two weeks ago. Most voters have favored repeal of the measure every week but one since it was passed by Congress nearly 18 months ago. During that time, weekly support for repeal has ranged from 47% to 63%, although it's generally been in the mid-50s for months.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) expect the health care reform plan to drive up the cost of care, showing little change over the past few months and contrary to what supporters said prior to the law's passage. Only 14% expect cost to go down under the new law, the lowest finding since January. Another 18% think the cost of care will remain about the same, while 12% are not sure. Anywhere from 52% to 61% of voters have expected an increase in health care costs in weekly surveys since the law's passage.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 30-October 1, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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