American voters think President Obama will repeat his recent decision to increase the U.S. military presence in Afghanistan. Three-out-of-four (74%) think it is likely that he will send in even more troops in the next year or so.

That figure includes 47% who say it is Very Likely, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

In dealing with the situation in Afghanistan, 46% of voters say the president is responding with about the right amount of military force. Fifteen percent (15%) of voters think Obama is responding with too much force, while 25% say he is using too little military force.

Most voters (54%) say the president’s strategy is at least somewhat likely to accomplish the U.S. goal of disrupting, dismantling and defeating the terrorist group al-Qaeda in Pakistan and Afghanistan. That figure includes 13% who say it is Very Likely to do so and 41% who say it is Somewhat Likely to work.

Overall, 30% say Obama’s strategy is not likely to accomplish his goal.

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The president will meet with other NATO leaders this weekend to discuss the war in Afghanistan, but most have already indicated they have no desire to increase their forces there.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) agree with the president’s decision to put more U.S. troops into Afghanistan, but 23% disagree. Support for Obama’s action is down a few points from two weeks ago.

The United States now contributes over half of the 70,000 troops in Afghanistan. Obama has pledged to send 17,000 more U.S. combat troops there, with an additional 4,000 to help train the Afghan army.

Republicans continue to be more supportive of the president’s decision to send in more troops than are members of his own party and unaffiliated voters. But GOP voters also are more likely to say the president has used too little military force and are more skeptical about the success of his strategy for the war-torn country.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Republicans, for example, agree with Obama’s decision to put more U.S. troops in Afghanistan, compared to 55% of Democrats and 52% of voters not affiliated with either major party.

But 36% of Republicans say the president is responding with too little military force, a view shared by 16% of Democrats and 26% of unaffiliateds. A majority of Democrats (54%) say the president is using about the right amount of military force.

Democrats are also more confident that Obama’s strategy will defeat al-Qaeda.

Voters are following the story more closely than they were two weeks ago. Eighty-two percent (82%) of all voters say they are following at least somewhat closely. Forty-eight percent (48%) say they have followed Very Closely.

During the campaign and since, Obama has said that President Bush was fighting the War on Terror on the wrong front by focusing on Iraq instead of Afghanistan. In previous surveys, the plurality of voters has agreed with the president that Afghanistan is the central front in the War on Terror.

Just 23% expect things to get better in Afghanistan over the next year, while 42% said things will get worse.

The number of voters who say the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror dropped five percentage points over the past two weeks to 46%.

The percentage of voters who say the president is doing a good or excellent job handling national security issues also has dropped below 50% for the first time since he took office January 20.

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