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The Last Word--Almost
A Commentary By Larry Sabato
Thursday, October 30, 2008
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These are our 2008 election projections as of Thursday, October 30. We will make final adjustments and tweaks on Monday afternoon, November 3, and post them to the website. At that point, we will attempt to call the few remaining toss-ups. We wish everyone the best possible Election Day, with congratulations to the winners and condolences to the losers. Our sincere thanks to the thousands of readers who have offered tips, suggestions, and constructive criticism. In January 2009 we'll start our focus on the new administration and Congress--and yes, the critical "Census/redistricting" midterm election cycle of 2010 (36 governors, thousands of state legislative seats, the entire U.S. House again, and the next third of the U.S. Senate seats on the ballot). The never-ending cycle of American politics will be played out here on Sabato's Crystal Ball.
These states are close, and we will revisit them on Monday: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, and Virginia. SENATE UPDATE:
***We believe this race will go to a Dec. 2 runoff election. No candidate will receive 50 percent plus one on Nov. 4. Projected results listed in italics are projected pick-ups for the opposing party. GOVERNOR UPDATE:
**Extremely close toss-up. We will declare this race on Monday.
Projected results listed in italics are projected pick-ups for the opposing party. HOUSE UPDATE: Produced under the direction of Isaac Wood and Paul Wiley.
Republican Held Seats in Play: 58
Democratic Held Seats in Play: 32 The Crystal Ball will make its final calls on all toss-up House races on Monday. These projections will be found on our website Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIESWhat They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Public Support for Sotomayor Falls After Supreme Court Reversal Plans for General Motors Might Run Afoul of Public Opinion Americans Still Embrace Ideals from Declaration of Independence Republicans Lead Again on Congressional Ballot Massachusetts: 26% Consider State’s Health Care Reform a Success 56% Don’t Want To Pay More To Fight Global Warming 62% Agree Fourth of July Is One of America’s Most Important Holidays 44% Nationwide Have Unfavorable View of Franken Advertisement
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