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The Last Word--Almost
A Commentary By Larry Sabato
Thursday, October 30, 2008
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These are our 2008 election projections as of Thursday, October 30. We will make final adjustments and tweaks on Monday afternoon, November 3, and post them to the website. At that point, we will attempt to call the few remaining toss-ups. We wish everyone the best possible Election Day, with congratulations to the winners and condolences to the losers. Our sincere thanks to the thousands of readers who have offered tips, suggestions, and constructive criticism. In January 2009 we'll start our focus on the new administration and Congress--and yes, the critical "Census/redistricting" midterm election cycle of 2010 (36 governors, thousands of state legislative seats, the entire U.S. House again, and the next third of the U.S. Senate seats on the ballot). The never-ending cycle of American politics will be played out here on Sabato's Crystal Ball.
These states are close, and we will revisit them on Monday: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, and Virginia. SENATE UPDATE:
***We believe this race will go to a Dec. 2 runoff election. No candidate will receive 50 percent plus one on Nov. 4. Projected results listed in italics are projected pick-ups for the opposing party. GOVERNOR UPDATE:
**Extremely close toss-up. We will declare this race on Monday.
Projected results listed in italics are projected pick-ups for the opposing party. HOUSE UPDATE: Produced under the direction of Isaac Wood and Paul Wiley.
Republican Held Seats in Play: 58
Democratic Held Seats in Play: 32 The Crystal Ball will make its final calls on all toss-up House races on Monday. These projections will be found on our website Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIESDemocrats & Unaffiliateds More Likely To Be Unemployed Than Republicans To Create Jobs, Voters Say Cut Taxes and Stop Spending Republicans Maintain Steady Lead on Generic Ballot Support for Congressional Health Care Proposal Up to 47%, 49% Opposed Voters’ Opinions of Congressional Leaders Remain Steady 62% Now Have Favorable View of Michelle Obama 47% Trust Private Sector More Than Government To Keep Health Care Costs Down, Quality Up 33% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction 51% Oppose Decision To Try Terrorists in New York City Advertisement
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