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House Race Update: Democratic Domination Continues
A Commentary By Larry J. Sabato, Isaac Wood, and Paul Wiley
Friday, October 24, 2008
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Every week it seems to get worse for House Republicans. As we will demonstrate below, we have expanded the number of possible to likely net gains for Democrats from our previous 15 to 20 to a new and rather astounding 22 to 27 seats. The past week has been a wild one for congressional races nationwide. Some contests have gotten more competitive, and in some districts one party has even pulled away. And by "one party," we do in fact mean "one party"--the Democrats. This week the Crystal Ball is making 33 changes to its House ratings, some of them major, and others minor. In all but two of those races the changes benefit Democrats. The two districts resisting this week's Blue tide are Florida's 16th, home to scandal-plagued Democrat Tim Mahoney, and Kansas's 2nd, where Nancy Boyda is now facing a tight toss-up race. Let's look at this week's changes, with seats currently held by the GOP highlighted in Red and Democrat-held seats in Blue.
Here is the total picture on our current ratings: Republican Held Seats in Play: 58 (141 Safe/Solid R)
Democratic Held Seats in Play: 32 (204 Safe/Solid D) Stay tuned next week for further updates. As some races heat up and others cool off, the Crystal Ball will be there to deliver you the latest forecast. See More Commentary by Lawrence Kudlow See Other Political Commentary Views expressed in this column are those of the author, not those of Rasmussen Reports. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIES42% Support Health Care Reform After Release of Pelosi's Version 49% See GOP Takeover of Congress Next Year As Possible What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Americans Favor Home Buyer Tax Credit Until They Hear How Much It Costs 30% Favor One Party Running the White House and Congress Voters Divided On Whether Passing Good Legislation More Important Than Killing Bad Bills 45% for Obama, 49% Against – If Election Were Held Right Now President Obama: One Year After Winning it All There Is No Honor; There's Only Killing By Debra J. Saunders Advertisement
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