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House Race Update: Democratic Domination Continues
A Commentary By Larry J. Sabato, Isaac Wood, and Paul Wiley
Friday, October 24, 2008
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Every week it seems to get worse for House Republicans. As we will demonstrate below, we have expanded the number of possible to likely net gains for Democrats from our previous 15 to 20 to a new and rather astounding 22 to 27 seats. The past week has been a wild one for congressional races nationwide. Some contests have gotten more competitive, and in some districts one party has even pulled away. And by "one party," we do in fact mean "one party"--the Democrats. This week the Crystal Ball is making 33 changes to its House ratings, some of them major, and others minor. In all but two of those races the changes benefit Democrats. The two districts resisting this week's Blue tide are Florida's 16th, home to scandal-plagued Democrat Tim Mahoney, and Kansas's 2nd, where Nancy Boyda is now facing a tight toss-up race. Let's look at this week's changes, with seats currently held by the GOP highlighted in Red and Democrat-held seats in Blue.
Here is the total picture on our current ratings: Republican Held Seats in Play: 58 (141 Safe/Solid R)
Democratic Held Seats in Play: 32 (204 Safe/Solid D) Stay tuned next week for further updates. As some races heat up and others cool off, the Crystal Ball will be there to deliver you the latest forecast. See More Commentary by Lawrence Kudlow See Other Political Commentary Views expressed in this column are those of the author, not those of Rasmussen Reports. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIESWhat They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Public Support for Sotomayor Falls After Supreme Court Reversal Plans for General Motors Might Run Afoul of Public Opinion Americans Still Embrace Ideals from Declaration of Independence Republicans Lead Again on Congressional Ballot Massachusetts: 26% Consider State’s Health Care Reform a Success 56% Don’t Want To Pay More To Fight Global Warming 62% Agree Fourth of July Is One of America’s Most Important Holidays 44% Nationwide Have Unfavorable View of Franken Advertisement
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